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Melbourne Storm vs Parramatta Eels Predictions & Tips - Faalogo to lead Storm to victory in NRL

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: 18 May 2024
Ryan Tucker 18 May 2024
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  • Melbourne Storm vs Parramatta Eels expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 11 NRL game
  • Storm expected to secure a 13+ winning margin
  • Melbourne's offence to score over 30 points
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Sualauvi Faalogo
Sualauvi Faalogo (Getty Images)

Melbourne Storm vs Parramatta Eels Preview


Parramatta's defence has let them down this season and I think this will be the case again with Melbourne expected to put up 30+ points on their way to a 13+ win.
  • Melbourne Storm vs Parramatta Eels Preview
  • Head to Head 
  • Melbourne Storm Form
  • Melbourne Storm Team News
  • Melbourne Storm Team List
  • Parramatta Eels Form
  • Parramatta Eels Team News
  • Parramatta Eels Team List

  • Melbourne’s average winning margin against Parramatta since 2019 is 26.4 points.
  • Parramatta have lost by 13+ in 4 of their past 5 games. 
  • The Eels have conceded 30+ points in 4 of their past 5 games.
  • The Eels have conceded a try to opposing fullbacks in their past 4 games.

Head to Head 


Parramatta were the bogey team for Melbourne before 2023, with the storm losing to the Eels in four straight matches, however, Melbourne put that horror story to bed with two wins last season over the Eels.

The Eels pushed the Storm to golden-point in Round 1 with Harry Grant getting a cheeky try in the extra period to lead the Storm to a 16-14 win. 

There were no such problems in Round 22 with the Storm running away with a 46-16 victory at Marvel Stadium.

Melbourne Storm Form


Melbourne’s five game winning run was put to a stop at AAMI Park on Saturday by the Sharks, who ran them ragged through the middle to get the win 25-18. 

The Storm were missing their key man Jahrome Hughes, with Melbourne not losing this season when the New Zealand halfback is in the lineup. 

Despite the loss, Melbourne are going about their business nicely in 2023, playing sound football defensively, averaging 18.1 points against per game. 

If there is room for improvement it is on the attacking side of the ball, where they have been disrupted heavily by injuries week in and week out and have been unable to present that flawless flow in the backline that Craig Bellamy’s side is known for. 

Melbourne Storm Team News


Xavier Coates will make his return from a hamstring injury with Grant Anderson making way.

Melbourne Storm Team List


1. Sua Fa'alogo
2. Will Warbrick
3. Reimis Smith
4. Nick Meaney
5. Xavier Coates
6. Cameron Munster
7. Tyran Wishart
8. Christian Welch
9. Harry Grant
10. Josh King
11. Shawn Blore
12. Eli Katoa
13. Trent Loiero

Interchange
14. Jack Howarth
15. Tui Kamikamica
16. Nelson Asofa-Solomona
17. Alec MacDonald

Reserves
18. Grant Anderson
19. Joe Chan
20. Bronson Garlick
21. Dean Ieremia
​​​​​​​22. Chris Lewis

Parramatta Eels Form


The Eels suffered their fifth defeat in six games, getting beaten by Brisbane 30-14 at Commbank Stadium. 

Also getting hit with key injuries to Mitch Moses and Clint Gutherson, Parramatta have not been able to compete at all really in 2024, winning just three games this season.

A shining light was once again young-gun Blaize Talagi who was thrusted in at fullback, his third different position for the Eels this season. The 19-year-old scored a try, made 3 Linebreaks and ran for a game-high 215 metres. 

The Eels have really struggled defensively as well this year, conceding the third-most amount of points (26.9/Game) and the most Linebreaks (6.6/Game) of any team.

Parramatta Eels Team News


Daejarn Asi comes back into the halves in place of Ethan Sanders. Bryce Cartwright will return on the bench with Brendan Hands dropping out.

Parramatta Eels Team List


1. Blaize Talagi
2. Maika Sivo
3. Will Penisini
4. Sean Russell
5. Bailey Simonsson
6. Daejarn Asi
7. Dylan Brown
8. Reagan Campbell-Gillard
9. Joey Lussick
10. Junior Paulo
11. Shaun Lane
12. Ryan Matterson
13. J’maine Hopgood

Interchange
14. Bryce Cartwright
15. Makahesi Makatoa
16. Joe Ofahengaue
17. Kelma Tuilagi

Reserves
18. Brendan Hands
19. Morgan Harper
20. Ethan Sanders
21. Wiremu Greig
​​​​​​​22. Luca Moretti

Verdict

Sualaivi Faalogo can score at the back and lead the Storm to a 13+ victory, They can also put on over 28.5 points against a soft Eels defence.

Best Bet1: Melbourne Storm 13+ Winning Margin @1/1 at 10bet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Melbourne Over 28.5 Team Total @23/24 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Sualauvi Faalogo Anytime Tryscorer @21/20 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Suaauvi Faalogo First Tryscorer @35/4 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Melbourne Storm
13+ Winning Margin
@1/1 - 3 Units
100% up to £/€50 bonus
Get up to £/€50 on your first deposit

New bettors; Code SPORT; Wager deposit & bonus 8x; Max qualifying bet stake=initial bonus; Valid 60 days; Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply; T&C apply; 18+

Bet at 10bet
Melbourne Over 28.5
Team Total
@23/24 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

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Bet at bet365
Sualauvi Faalogo
Anytime Tryscorer
@21/20 - 1 Unit
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

Bet at bet365
Suaauvi Faalogo
First Tryscorer
@35/4 - 1 Unit
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

Bet at bet365

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19 May 2024

Melbourne Storm v Parramatta Eels