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Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos Predictions & Tips - Broncos to go bucking against Knights in NRL

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 18 Jul 2024
Jeremy Darke 18 Jul 2024
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  • Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 20 NRL game
  • Broncos aim to end 6-game losing streak
  • Brisbane has a 5-game winning streak against Newcastle
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Brisbane Broncos
Broncos to bounce back to form (Getty)

Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos Preview


Brisbane are on a six-game losing streak but the Broncos can bounce back by extending their dominant record against the Knights, which currently stands at five straight wins. 
  • Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos Preview
  • Head to Head 
  • Newcastle Knights Form
  • Newcastle Knights Team News
  • Newcastle Knights Team List
  • Brisbane Broncos Form
  • Brisbane Broncos Team News
  • Brisbane Broncos Team List

  • Brisbane have won their past 4 games against Newcastle.
  • Newcastle have a 50% record at McDonald Jones Stadium this season
  • 6 of the past 7 games between Newcastle and Brisbane has ended with a game total of less than 49.5 points.
  • Newcastle have conceded 6 tries to opposing halves in their past 5 games.

Head to Head 


Round 15, 2023 saw the Broncos get a 24-20 victory over the Knights on the back of a 76th minute converted try by Adam Reynolds.

The win for Brisbane at Suncorp in 2023 was the club’s fourth consecutive win over Newcastle which includes a 24-point victory at McDonald Jones Stadium in 2022.

Newcastle Knights Form


Newcastle took a hiding last week at 4 Pines Parke against Manly, going down 44-6, which was their biggest defeat of the 2024 season.

Lazy and soft defence in the line was the catalyst to the substantial defeat with Manly scoring multiple long-range tries, only having 8 tackles inside the Knights 20m throughout the whole game and basically sharing the territory 50/50.

Newcastle allowed the Sea Eagles to break their line nine times in the match and rack up 309 more run metres.

The loss was the Knights fourth in six games with their defence letting them down compared to earlier in their season, averaging 29.33 points against in their last six, which is more than any team’s season average.

Newcastle Knights Team News


Kalyn Ponga, Dane Gagai and Bradman Best have all been named to back up from Origin played three days before. Fletcher Sharpe is on standby to cover for Ponga and Thomas Cunt ready if another outside back is unavailable.

Dylan Lucas moves to the bench and joins Jack Hethrington who will cover for Mat Croker who is under concussion protocols.

Newcastle Knights Team List


1. Kalyn Ponga
2. Krystian Mapapalangi
3. Dane Gagai
4. Bradman Best
5. Greg Marzhew
6. Will Pryce
7. Jackson Hastings
8. Daniel Saifiti
9. Phoenix Crossland
10. Leo Thompson
11. Tyson Frizell
12. Kai Pearce-Paul
13. Adam Elliott

Interchange
14. Jayden Brailey
15. Jacob Saifiti
16. Jack Hetherington
17. Dylan Lucas

Reserves
18. Tyson Gamble
19. Mat Croker
20. Thomas Cant
21. Fletcher Sharpe
​​​​​​​22. Thomas Jenkins

Brisbane Broncos Form


The Brisbane season is in jeopardy and has been well documented after they fell to their sixth straight defeat, this time at the hands of St George 30-26 in round 19.

Everything will get better after the Origin period for the Broncos, especially with Adam Reynolds nearing a return. They have missed their halfback’s playmaking and game control, scoring over 16 points for the first time in 5 games against the Dragons. 

Brisbane have often been on the back foot, trailing in possession and territory in their matches, a key aspect of Reynold’s game that gives his team the advantage on the back of his flawless kicking game and organisational skills.

Brisbane are two wins out of the eight and dropping any further back is going to put their season on a thread.

Brisbane Broncos Team News


None of Kevin Walters Origin players have been named with Reece Walsh, Selwyn Cobbo, Payne Haas and Pat Carrigan all named in the reserves and will be assessed.

Blake Mozer had an impressive game last week and holds his spot on the bench.

Brisbane Broncos Team List


1. Tristan Sailor
2. Corey Oates
3. Kotoni Staggs
4. Deine Mariner
5. Jesse Arthars
6. Ezra Mam
7. Josh Rogers
8. Corey Jensen
9. Billy Walters
10. Xavier Willison
11. Brendan Piakura
12. Jordan Riki
13. Kobe Hetherington

Interchange
14. Blake Mozer
15. Tyson Smoothy
16. Josiah Karapani
17. Martin Taupau

Reserves
18. Va'a Semu
19. Cory Paix
20. Reece Walsh
21. Selwyn Cobbo
​​​​​​​22. Patrick Carrigan
23. Payne Haas
24. Adam Reynolds

Verdict

The Broncos are backed to win by 1-12 points with the game going under the total of 49.5 points.

Best Bet1: Brisbane Broncos 1-12 Winning Margin @40/17 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 49.5 Game Total @9/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Ezra Mam Anytime Tryscorer @6/4 at 10bet - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Ezra Mam First Tryscorer @14/1 at bet365 - 1 Unit
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