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Newcastle Knights vs Canterbury Bulldogs Preview & Tips - Dogs to cover in low scoring NRL clash

Last updated: 28 May 2024
Ryan Tucker 28 May 2024
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  • Newcastle Knights vs Canterbury Bulldogs expert predictions for Friday’s Round 13 NRL game
  • Defensive battle expected with low scores
  • Canterbury are missing key players, but resilient and tactical
David Armstrong
David Armstrong of the Knights has scored 5 tries in 4 games so far this season (Chris Hyde)

Newcastle Knights vs Canterbury Bulldogs Predictions

Low scores are predicted at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday with a defensive battle expected. Under the game total and Canterbury Bulldogs to cover the line is predicted. 
  • Newcastle Knights vs Canterbury Bulldogs Predictions
  • Head to Head 
  • Newcastle Knights Form
  • Newcastle Knights Team News
  • Newcastle Knights Team List
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Form
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Team News
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Team List

  • Newcastle have won 13 of 18 games played at McDonald Jones since the beginning of the 2023 season.
  • The Bulldogs concede only 17.4 pts per game - 2nd in the league, the Knights are 5th with 19 opposition points per game.
  • Canterbury concede 61% of opposition tries down their right side, Newcastle score 42% of their tries down their left side.
  • David Armstrong has scored 5 tries in 4 games played this season.

Head to Head 

These teams have met on 10 occasions dating back to the start of the 2019 season. Newcastle have won 6 of those games, but the Bulldogs took the most recent success in round 7 this year 36-12.

Newcastle Knights Form

Newcastle are coming off their first bye of the season and had won 4 in a row prior to the week off. Their last loss was in Round 7 against the Bulldogs 36-12.

In the Knights round 11 game against the Titans they were again forced to come from behind being down 24-10 at the half. 

The Newcastle defence stepped up in the second stanza not allowing the Titans another score and missing only 9 tackles in the whole half.

Newcastle Knights Team News

The Knights are unaffected by Origin but a raft of injuries to their backline sees Krystian Mapapalangi return to the NRL in the centres with Bradman Best the latest casualty. 

Daniel Saifiti returns to the lineup off the bench which sees Jack Hetherington revert to the reserves. 

Newcastle Knights Team List

1. David Armstrong
2. Enari Tuala
3. Dane Gagai
4. Krystian Mapapalangi
5. Greg Marzhew
6. Jack Cogger
7. Jackson Hastings
8. Jacob Saifiti
9. Jayden Brailey
10. Leo Thompson
11. Kai Pearce-Paul
12. Dylan Lucas
13. Adam Elliott

14. Phoenix Crossland
15. Tyson Frizell
16. Daniel Saifiti
17. Brodie Jones

18. Thomas Cant
19. Mat Croker
20. Will Pryce
21. Jack Hetherington
22. Fletcher Sharpe

Canterbury Bulldogs Form

The Doggies broke a two game losing streak with a dominant win over St George last weekend 44-12. 

The Dragons led for the majority of the game but once the Bulldogs got on a roll there was no stopping them as they ran in 7 unanswered tries in 32 minutes in the second half. 

Canterbury owned 93% of the Territory in the 2nd half as well as 69% of Possession. They were tackled in the Dragons 20m 24 times whilst their opposition tallied exactly 0 tackles in the Bulldogs red zone, a testament to their defensive domination.

Canterbury Bulldogs Team News

Bulldogs captain Stephen Crichton and half Matt Burton are away on Origin duty. Blake Wilson comes onto the wing with Jacob Kiraz covering at centre for Crichton. Drew Hutchison returns to the starting team after a few weeks on the outer. 

Barnstorming second rower Viliame Kikau will miss up to a month following surgery on a fractured finger.

Jacob Preston takes his spot in the starting team with Poasa Faamausili coming onto the bench. Kurt Mann returns after being a withdrawal from last week’s win, Josh Curran goes back to the interchange.

Canterbury Bulldogs Team List

1. Connor Tracey
2. Blake Wilson
3. Bronson Xerri
4. Jacob Kiraz
5. Josh Addo-Carr
6. Drew Hutchison
7. Toby Sexton
8. Max King
9. Reed Mahoney
10. Sam Hughes
11. Jacob Preston
12. Jaeman Salmon
13. Kurt Mann

14. Bailey Hayward
15. Josh Curran
16. Kurtis Morrin
17. Poasa Faamausili

19. Lipoi Hopoi
20. Blake Taaffe
21. Jake Turpin
22. Harry Hayes
23. Jeral Skelton


Anything over a try is value for the Underdog so I am backing the Dogs to cover. David Armstrong is priced well to cross and has the best opportunity chiming in on both sides of the play. 

Best Bet1: Canterbury +5.5 Line @9/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 44.5 Game Total @5/6 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet3: David Armstrong Anytime Tryscorer @6/4 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: David Armstrong First Tryscorer @10/1 at thePools - 1 Unit
Canterbury +5.5
@9/10 - 2 Units
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