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Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans Tips & Preview - Titans to leak points again in NRL

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: 06 May 2025
Ryan Tucker 06 May 2025
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  • Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans expert predictions for Friday’s Round 10 NRL game
  • Newcastle aims for their seventh consecutive home win against Gold Coast
  • Key player Fletcher Sharpe continues his strong form with multiple scoring streaks
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Fletcher Sharpe knights
Fletcher Sharpe of the Knights (Getty Images)

Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans Preview


Newcastle have won six in a row at home to Gold Coast and they are backed to make that seven straight. The Titans did beat the Knights earlier this season, but expect revenge with the Titans struggling defensively. 
  • Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans Preview
  • Head to Head 
  • Newcastle Knights Form
  • Newcastle Knights Team News
  • Newcastle Knights Team List
  • Gold Coast Titans Form
  • Gold Coast Titans Team News
  • Gold Coast Titans Team List

  • Newcastle are 18-10 ATS (and straight up) at home since 2023
  • The Titans are averaging 17.6 pts in their losses this season which is also the number they have averaged in the last 6 games at McDonald Jones Stadium.
  • Fletcher Sharpe has scored in 3 of last 4 games for Newcastle.
  • Gold Coast have conceded the first try in 5 of last 6 games.

Head to Head 


Gold Coast won the matchup against Newcastle earlier this season 26-6, snapping a 3 game win streak in favour of the Knights. Since the start of the 2019 season Newcastle hold a 6-5 advantage in the head to head record.

The last two games and five of the last 11 have gone Under the Game Total while eight of the last 11 games have finished with win margins of 13+ points.

Newcastle have won five straight as the home team vs Gold Coast.

Newcastle Knights Form


The Knights finally put on some points last week at Magic Round, scoring 30 for the first time since round 26 last year, coincidentally against this week’s opponents Gold Coast. 

It was also the best defensive performance of the year so far for Newcastle, restricting their opponents to just 4 points with the lone try coming in the 66th minute of the game. 

Newcastle totalled 1787 Run Metres during the game, the highest number for them in any matchup this season with Souths missing 59 tackles in the contest.

Fletcher Sharpe continues to work into his groove with 3 tries, 29 tackles and 3 Linebreaks in the win. All 5 starting forwards totalled 100+ run metres each with James Schiller and Greg Marzhew both going over 200 m with solid work out of their own end. 

Newcastle Knights Team News


The Knights stick with the same lineup that snapped their 5 game losing streak, Tyson Gamble and Thomas Cant are both in the reserves.

Newcastle Knights Team List


1. Kalyn Ponga 
2. James Schiller 
3. Dane Gagai
4. Bradman Best 
5. Greg Marzhew 
6. Fletcher Sharpe
7. Jack Cogger 
8. Jacob Saifiti 
9. Phoenix Crossland
10. Leo Thompson 
11. Dylan Lucas
12. Kai Pearce-Paul 
13. Tyson Frizell 

Interchange
14. Jayden Brailey 
15. Mat Croker
16. Adam Elliott 
17. Brodie Jones

Reserves
18. Thomas Cant
19. Tyson Gamble
20. Kyle McCarthy
21. Matthew Arthur
22. Paul Bryan

Gold Coast Titans Form


Things are going from bad to worse for the Titans. They have now lost 5 in a row, conceding an average of 38.4 pts per game during that span. The defence is not the only problem as they failed to reach 20 points in attack for the 4th time in 5 games.

Gold Coast rank 16th in Opposition Run Metres, 17th in Opposition Linebreaks, 13th in Opposition Tackles Inside 20m and 16th in Opposition Territory and Possession. They are completely under siege defensively with no structure and bad decision making across the park.

There have been some bright sparks in attack throughout the first third of the year but it is not happening on a consistent basis which affects confidence and decision making when they get into attacking situations. Ranking 15th in Tackles Inside 20m those situations are currently few and far between.

Gold Coast Titans Team News


Jojo Fifita and Jayden Campbell are back in the lineup with Campbell’s return ahead of schedule timely given Tom Weaver’s concussion at the weekend.

Still no sign of David Fifita who is seeking ongoing medical advice for an ankle injury.

Gold Coast Titans Team List


1. Jaylan de Groot
2. Alofiana Khan-Pereira
3. Brian Kelly
4. Phillip Sami
5. Jojo Fifita 
6. AJ Brimson 
7. Jayden Campbell
8. Moeaki Fotuaika
9. Sam Verrills
10. Reagan Campbell-Gillard
11. Klese Haas
12. Beau Fermor 
13. Tino Fa'asuamaleaui

Interchange
14. Chris Randall
15. Iszac Fa'asuamaleaui
16. Arama Hau
17. Josiah Pahulu

Reserves
18. Tony Francis
19. Jacob Alick-Wiencke
20. Tukimihia Simpkins
21. Allan Fitzgibbon
22. Sean Mullany

Verdict

Take Newcastle to win and cover the line at home, Titans team total Under and Fletcher Sharpe to continue his dream run of tryscoring.

Best Bet1: Newcastle -6.5 Line @9/10 at Betgoodwin - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Titans Under 18.5 Team Total @9/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Fletcher Sharpe Anytime Tryscorer @6/4 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Fletcher Sharpe First Tryscorer @12/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Newcastle -6.5
Line
@9/10 - 3 Units
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