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North Queensland Cowboys vs Gold Coast Titans Predictions & Tips - Cowboys to upset the Titans for first NRL win

  • North Queensland Cowboys vs Gold Coast Titans predictions for Sunday’s NRL game
  • The Round 3 clash is being played at 8.35am GMT at Queensland Country Bank Stadium
  • North Queensland have won 10 of their last 11 games against Gold Coast
  • I am backing the Cowboys with the handicap and to win in Townsville
  • Preview, predictions, stats & team news
Cowboys Titans Holmes
Valentine Holmes can lead the Cowboys to an upset win against the Titans (Getty Images)
Mat Marshall 25 Mar 2021
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North Queensland Cowboys vs Gold Coast Titans Predictions


North Queensland improved last week, are getting close to a win and have a great record against the Titans. Gold Coast are too short here with value on the Cowboys in Townsville.

Valentine Holmes scored last week which could be the start of a scoring spree.

  • North Queensland Cowboys have made 31 errors in their last 2 games.
  • North Queensland Cowboys have won 10 of their last 11 games against Gold Coast Titans.
  • North Queensland Cowboys have won 10 of their last 11 home games against Gold Coast Titans.
  • Gold Coast Titans have not won in Townsville since 2012.
  • Gold Coast Titans have made 30 errors in their last 2 games
  • Gold Coast Titans have made 43 ineffective tackles in their last 2 games, 2nd most in the NRL.

Head to Head


North Queensland Cowboys have a 16-8 advantage against Gold Coast Titans in 24 games. 

The Cowboys won 10 straight before the Titans won 30-10 at Robina Stadium last season.

North Queensland have won 10 of the last 11 encounters in Townsville.

North Queensland Cowboys Form


North Queensland have lost their opening two games of the season. The Cowboys didn’t trouble the scorers in a 24-0 defeat at Penrith where they completed 59% of their sets, missed 42 tackles, made 18 errors and conceded 7 penalties.

Todd Payten’s side hosted St George Illawarra last week and went down 25-18. Coen Hess, Valentine Holmes and Jake Granville crossed for tries but it wasn’t enough to get the job done.

North Queensland improved in many key areas; completing 76% of their sets (32/42), missing 32 tackles, making 13 errors and conceding 3 penalties. 

Todd Payten called out captain Jason Taumalolo following the Round 1 loss and accused his team of either being scared, confused or too fatigued in the loss to St George Illawarra. Expect a reaction here.

North Queensland Cowboys Injuries & Team News


Cowboys co-captain Michael Morgan has been ruled out of Sunday's clash due to a shoulder injury. North Queensland are hopeful he will only miss one game and return in round 4.

Scott Drinkwater could shift from fullback into the halves with Valentine Holmes to fullback. Ben Hampton could also come into the starting side.

Kyle Feldt (suspension) is out for two games with Murray Taulagi starting on the wing. Kane Bradley (shoulder) and Tom Gilbert (broken fibula) are out until round 4. 

Jason Taumalolo (broken hand) could return in round 6. Payten sticks with Reuben Cotter at No.13 after being the team's Players' Player against St George Illawarra.

Second-rower Coen Hess suffered a burner injury against the Dragons but is expected to play. 

North Queensland Cowboys Line Up


1. Scott Drinkwater
2. Murray Taulagi
3. Esan Marsters
4. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow 
5. Valentine Holmes
6. Michael Morgan 
7. Jake Clifford
8. Francis Molo
9. Reece Robson
10. Jordan McLean
11. Mitchell Dunn
12. Coen Hess
13. Reuben Cotter

Interchange

14. Jake Granville
15. Josh McGuire
16. Corey Jensen 
17. Lachlan Burr

Reserves

18. Justin O'Neil
19. Shane Wright
20. Peter Hola
21. Ben Hampton

Gold Coast Titans Form


Gold Coast started the season with a disappointing 19-6 defeat to the Warriors on the Central Coast where they made 15 errors. Corey Thompson scored in the closing stages but it was too little too late.

The Titans bounced back with a 28-16 win against the hapless Broncos. Jarrod Wallace, David Fifita, Erin Clark and Jaimin Jolliffe crossed for first half tries with Fifita getting his second in the 54th minute.

Justin Holbrook’s side completed 74% of their sets (28/38), made 15 errors and missed 31 tackles.

Gold Coast Titans Injuries & Team News


Titans halfback Ash Taylor (hand) joins Brian Kelly (hand) on the injured list. They should return in rounds 5-6. 

Tanah Boyd starts at five-eighth and Phillip Sami continues to start in the centres.

Gold Coast Titans Line Up


1. AJ Brimson
2. Anthony Don
3. Phillip Sami
4. Patrick Herbert 
5. Corey Thompson
6. Tanah Boyd
7. Jamal Fogarty
8. Jarrod Wallace
9. Mitch Rein
10. Moeaki Fotuaika
11. Kevin Proctor
12. David Fifita
13. Tino Fa'asuamaleaui

Interchange

14. Tyrone Peachey
15. Sam Lisone
16. Jaimin Joliffe
17. Erin Clark

Reserves

18. Beau Fermor
19. Herman Ese'ese
20. Sam McIntrye
21. Sam Stone

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US

Verdict

The Titans are overhyped and could miss injured playmaker Ash Taylor. The value is with the Cowboys who have won 10 of their last 11 games against Gold Coast.

Best Bets: Cowboys +6.5 Handicap @-111.11 at BetMGM - 3 Units
Best Bets: Valentine Holmes Anytime Tryscorer @100.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 2 Units
Value Bet: Cowboys Win Winner @188.00 at Borgata Sports - 2 Units
First Tryscorer Tip: Valentine Holmes First Tryscorer @1000.0 at 888sport - 1 Unit

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