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North Queensland Cowboys vs Newcastle Knights Predictions & Tips - Cowboys to cover at home

  • North Queensland Cowboys vs Newcastle Knights predictions for Thursday's NRL match
  • The match is being played at Queensland Country Bank Stadium (7.00pm BST)
  • The Cowboys have won their last 4 home matches against the Knights
  • The Cowboys have won 3 in a row at home and are tipped to cover a -5.5 handicap.
  • Match preview, predictions and latest team news
North Queensland Cowboys
North Queensland Cowboys have won their last 3 home matches (Getty Images)
Gary Emmerson 18 May 2021
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North Queensland Cowboys vs Newcastle Knights Predictions


Both sides have 4-6 records for the season but are in differing form. The Cowboys have won their last three at home, while the Knights have been on the receiving end of three heavy defeats.

With a strong record in head to heads, the Cowboys are tipped to win and cover a -5.5 handicap.

  • North Queensland Cowboys have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
  • North Queensland Cowboys have won their last 3 home matches.
  • North Queensland Cowboys have won their last 4 home matches against Newcastle Knights.
  • Newcastle Knights have lost 3 of their last 4 matches by 18 or more points.
  • Newcastle Knights have lost 8 of their last 10 away matches.

Head to Head


The Cowboys have enjoyed the better of things against the Knights, winning 10 of the last 15 matches and seven of the last eight at home.

Last year, it was one win each. The Cowboys won 32-20 in Townsville and the Knights got revenge in Newcastle with a 12-0 win.

North Queensland Cowboys Form


The Cowboys were beaten 30-16 by the Sydney Roosters last week in what was only a second loss in their last six matches.

It was a slow start from the Cowboys, who trailed 18-0. They got to within two points, but the Roosters cleared away late in the game.

North Queensland also lost to New Zealand Warriors in the recent run.

But they have recorded wins over Wests Tigers away and Canterbury Bulldogs, Canberra Raiders and Brisbane Broncos at home.

North Queensland Cowboys Team News


Coen Hess is ruled out with concussion, with Tom Gilbert replacing the prop.

Gilbert's promotion to the starting line-up means back-rower Heilum Luki comes onto the interchange and is in line for his debut.

North Queensland Cowboys Team List


1. Valentine Holmes 2. Kyle Feldt 3. Javid Bowen 4. Connelly Lemuelu 5. Murray Taulagi 6. Scott Drinkwater 7. Jake Clifford 8. Tom Gilbert 9. Reece Robson 10. Jordan McLean 11. Shane Wright 12. Mitchell Dunn 13. Jason Taumalolo 14. Jake Granville 15. Lachlan Burr 16. Francis Molo 17. Heilum Luki 18. Corey Jensen 19. Daejarn Asi 20. Ben Condon 21. Kane Bradley

Newcastle Knights Form


Newcastle Knights' form has dipped with three defeats in their last four matches following a positive start to the season.

The Knights were beaten 36-18 by Wests Tigers last weekend after losing full-back Kalyn Ponga in the build up to the game.

That defeat followed losses to Penrith Panthers and Sydney Roosters, both by 18 points or more.

Newcastle Knights Team News


The Knights are still without injured full-back Kalyn Ponga, and they now lose Hymel Hunt to a hamstring injury.

Brayden Musgrove replaces Hunt on the wing in the only change to the Knights line-up.

Newcastle Knights Team List


1. Tex Hoy 2. Starford To’a 3. Enari Tuala 4. Bradman Best 5. Brayden Musgrove 6. Kurt Mann 7. Phoenix Crossland 8. David Klemmer 9. Jayden Brailey 10. Daniel Saifiti 11. Tyson Frizell 12. Lachlan Fitzgibbon 13. Mitchell Barnett 14. Connor Watson 15. Jacob Saifiti 16. Sauaso Sue 17. Brodie Jones 18. Simi Sasagi 19. Josh King 20. Gehamat Shibasaki 21. Blake Green

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Verdict

The Cowboys have been solid at home, while the Knights haven't travelled well. With Newcastle's last three defeats coming by 18 or more points, the Cowboys are tipped to cover a -5.5 handicap.

Best Bet: Cowboys -5.5 Handicap @-109.89 at BetMGM - 3 Units

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