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NRL Grand Final First Tryscorer Tips - Who will be the First Tryscorer at Accor Stadium?

Last updated: 28 Sep 2023
Jeremy Darke 28 Sep 2023
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  • The NRL Grand Final first tryscorer tips
  • The NRL Grand Final on October 1
  • Who will score the first try in the NRL Grand Final?
Stephen Crichton, Penrith Panthers
Stephen Crichton has scored a try in the last 3 Grand Finals (Getty Images)

The NRL Grand Final is finally here and for all us rugby league punters out there the best way to get the celebrations started is to hit the first tryscorer and snag a win early to pay for the other 20 tickets we put on for the match!

There is plenty to consider when picking a first tryscorer for the Grand Final. Not only is tryscoring form important, but more specifically which player has been the go-to during the season on each team’s first attacking chance and have they converted?

Who stands up on the big stage and will give their team the best possible start? We've crunched the data to give you our top three NRL Grand Final first tryscorer tips.

Penrith Panthers - Brian To’o 

The Panthers winger is the heavy favourite as first tryscorers go paying around $8.00 in most books and at best $8.75.

To’o leads the Panthers with 21 tries in 2023 and is most definitely the go-to man for Nathan Cleary and Dylan Edwards when attacking the opposition line. 

This is no more evident with To’o scoring the first try in both of Penrith’s finals games this season.

The stocky Samoan has been the first tryscorer three times in 2023 and has also scored a try in two of the last three NRL Grand Finals.

Penrith Panthers - Stephen Crichton 

Crichton is giving great value at $13.00 to be the first try scorer given his history in Grand Finals over the past three years. 

The Panthers centre scored the first try in 2022, in the 10th minute against the Eels. He also scored a try in both the 2021 and 2020 Grand finals.

Not only is Chrichton a Grand Final tryscoring specialist, he has also scored the first try in five games in 2023, along with his 14 tries for Penrith this season.

Brisbane Broncos - Herbie Farnworth 

All eyes are on Reece Walsh sweeping on both sides of the field generally cutting out the Brisbane centres and hitting a flying winger. 

However, we saw against the Warriors last week that a short-ball to Farnworth is just as damaging for the opposition who are looking for the cut-out play.

The Englishman is tied second at the club with 15 tries this season, behind Selwyn Cobbo (20), who plays on the opposite wing. 

Farnworth has been the first tryscorer twice in 2023 and scored two tries against Penrith in round one this season.


The Panthers right-side attack will see plenty of early ball in the 2023 Grand Final with both To’o and Chrichton potentially crossing first. Herbie Farnworth is a little smokey for first tryscorer, playing off the hip of Reece Walsh.
Best Bet1: Brian To'o First Tryscorer @31/4 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Stephen Crichton First Tryscorer @12/1 at Betgoodwin - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Herbie Farnworth First Tryscorer @16/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Brian To'o
First Tryscorer
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Stephen Crichton
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Herbie Farnworth
First Tryscorer
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