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NRL Grand Final Tips - Who will win the Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos showdown?

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: 28 Sep 2023

Jeremy Darke 28 Sep 2023

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Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos predictions for Sunday’s NRL game
2023 NRL Grand Final Tips
Who will win the 2023 NRL Grand Final?

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Reece Walsh ready to break the 2023 NRL Grand Final wide open. (Getty Images)

2023 NRL Grand Final Tips

It is time, the 2023 Grand Final is here and there are no two clubs that deserve to be there more than the Penrith Panthers and the Brisbane Broncos. They will play it out to be crowned the 2023 NRL Premiers.

Penrith and Brisbane have set the benchmark for the rest of the competition all season long and it is going to be hard to split the two on Sunday.

I am going to take the underdog in this one and back the Brisbane moneyline for the extra value. This will be a tight game again between these two clubs, just as it was in their two previous meetings this season.

The game total is set accordingly, however, I am still going to take the UNDER 39.5 points. Reece Walsh will be a menace all night for Penrith and I will be looking for his short-ball to Herbie Farnworth on the left edge to cash in on the Anytime Tryscorer market.

6 of the last 7 games between Penrith and Brisbane have hit the UNDER game total.
Both teams have conceded an average of just 14.59 points combined in 2023.
Brisbane have not lost in NSW this season.
Herbie Farnworth scored 2 tries against Penrith in round 1 this season.

Head to Head

The recent head-to-head history has Penrith on top, winning five of the last seven games against Brisbane.

In 2023, it went one game apiece.

Brisbane won the first clash way back in round one 13-12, with a 70th-minute field goal by Adam Reynolds the difference. The second meeting took place in round 12 in another tight battle between the two. This time it was Penrith who got up 15-4 in an all-out defensive war once again.

Penrith Panthers Form

The Penrith Panthers had no trouble dismantling the Melbourne Storm for the third time this season, taking care of business comfortably in their 38-4 victory in their preliminary final at Accor Stadium.

Brian To’o scored a hat trick in the Panthers' win against Melbourne, reaping the benefits of another Nathan Cleary masterclass, with the Penrith halfback orchestrating the attack on both sides of the field, getting involved in every tryscoring opportunity for his team.

Penrith were well-rested heading into their preliminary final, beating the Warriors 32-6 in week 1 of the finals.

Penrith Panthers Team News

Penrith will play the same 17 players that won them the preliminary final against Melbourne.

Penrith Panthers Team List

1. Dylan Edwards

2. Sunia Turuva

3. Izack Tago

4. Stephen Crichton

5. Brian To'o

6. Jarome Luai

7. Nathan Cleary

8. Moses Leota

9. Mitch Kenny

10. James Fisher-Harris

11. Scott Sorensen

12. Liam Martin

13. Isaah Yeo

Interchange

14. Jack Cogger

15. Lindsay Smith

16. Spencer Leniu

17. Luke Garner

Reserves

18. Tyrone Peachey

19. Matthew Eisenhuth

20. Zac Hosking

21. Luke Sommerton

22. Tom Jenkins

Brisbane Broncos Form

Brisbane scored three unanswered tries in the second half against the New Zealand Warriors to be run-away victors in the preliminary final 42-12, at Suncorp Stadium.

Reece Walsh was once again the game-changer for the Broncos, tearing the Warriors apart on the edges with one linebreak, six linebreak assists and three try assists.

Brisbane enjoyed the week off before their prelim final, beating the Melbourne Storm 26-0 in the first week of the finals.

Brisbane Broncos Team News

Brisbane survived their preliminary final without injury and have named the same 17 as last week’s game against the Warriors.

Brisbane Broncos Team List

1. Reece Walsh

2. Jesse Arthars

3. Kotoni Staggs

4. Herbie Farnworth

5. Selwyn Cobbo

6. Ezra Mam

7. Adam Reynolds

8. Tom Flegler

9. Billy Walters

10. Payne Haas

11. Kurt Capewell

12. Jordan Riki

13. Patrick Carrigan

Interchange

14. Tyson Smoothy

15. Brendan Piakura

16. Kobe Hetherington

17. Keenan Palasia

Reserves

18. Corey Oates

19. Martin Taupau

20. Corey Jensen

21. Jock Madden

22. Tristan Sailor

Verdict

Penrith Panthers v Brisbane Broncos

Brisbane are backed to win their first NRL Premiership in 17 years, beating the Penrith Panthers in a low-scoring game that will go UNDER the game total. Reece Walsh will be electric and will put Herbie Farnworth over for a try.

Brisbane Broncos

Moneyline

@6/4 - 3 Units

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with bonus code NEWBONUS

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Bet at bet365

Under 39.5

Game Total

@9/10 - 3 Units

Bet £10 Get £20

In free bets

New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Mobile exclusive. Min Deposit £10. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. Account & Payment method restrictions apply. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household & IP Address only. 18+. T&Cs apply. **18+. Online Only. Get paid out as a winner if your team is winning by 2 goals, even if you draw or lose. 90 mins only. Applies to Singles & Multiples. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Boylesports

Herbie Farnworth

Anytime Tryscorer

@40/17 - 2 Units

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with coupon code NEWBONUS

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Herbie Farnworth

First Tryscorer

@16/1 - 1 Unit

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Bet at Star Sports