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Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters Tips & Preview - Low scoring game NRL Qualifying Final predicted

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: 11 Sep 2024

Ryan Tucker 11 Sep 2024

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Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters expert predictions for Friday’s NRL Qualifying Final game
Penrith Panthers have a strong winning trend against Sydney Roosters
Sydney Roosters have covered the line as underdogs in all 3 games this season

Expired

Isaah Yeo and James Tedesco gear up for finals. (Getty Images)

Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters Predictions

Penrith's winning trend against the Roosters can continue in this Qualifying Final but Sydney are backed to keep it close enough and cover the large line on offer. It should also be a low scoring game.

Penrith have come away victorious in 8 of 13 games this season when the Total has gone Under.
Sydney have covered the line in all 3 games as Underdogs this season.
Both teams are top 5 in Scoring Defence with Penrith allowing 16.4 pts per game and Sydney 19.3 pts per game.
Sunia Turuva scored a hattrick against the Roosters earlier this year and lines up on the edge where the Roosters allow 45% of opposition scoring.

Head to Head

The Panthers have absolutely dominated the Roosters in recent years, leading the regular season head to head 9-1 since the beginning of the 2019 season.

They have also won the lone finals matchup during the same period, a 29-28 victory in Week 1 of finals 2020, which takes their current win streak out to nine in a row.

Penrith Panthers Form

The Panthers have been less than convincing this season as they have battled through injuries, suspensions, Origin and contract talks.

The result of a dynasty and three straight premierships is always being held to the highest of standards.

The Panthers have nonetheless secured 2nd spot in the Minor Premiership with a narrow victory over the Titans in the final round of competition.

As has been the case for a number of games this year they looked clunky in attack without Nathan Cleary steering the ship.

They managed only 18 points against the 4th worst Scoring Defence in the league with their Completion Rate finishing at 68% for the game.

The Panthers finished the regular season as the number one defensive team allowing only 16.4 points per game on average.

Penrith Panthers Team News

A massive boost for the Panthers heading into Week 1 of the finals with Nathan Cleary back on deck. Brad Schneider is relegated to the reserves.

Penrith Panthers Team List

1. Dylan Edwards

2. Sunia Turuva

3. Izack Tago

4. Paul Alamoti

5. Brian To'o

6. Jarome Luai

7. Nathan Cleary

8. Moses Leota

9. Mitch Kenny

10. James Fisher-Harris

11. Scott Sorensen

12. Liam Martin

13. Isaah Yeo

Interchange

14. Trent Toelau

15. Lindsay Smith

16. Liam Henry

17. Luke Garner

Reserves

18. Matthew Eisenhuth

19. Brad Schneider

20. Casey McLean

21. Daine Laurie

22. Luke Sommerton

Sydney Roosters Form

The Roosters won 13 of 17 games after starting the season 3-4 to lock up third spot on the ladder.

In a worrying trend for Roosters supporters seven of the eight losses incurred this season were against top 8 opponents. On the other side of the ledger only three of their 16 wins came against teams that will play finals.

Despite the numbers above the Roosters roster is one of the strongest on paper even without a host of stars that will miss the rest of the season through injury. They led the league in Scoring this year as well as finishing top 5 in Scoring Defence.

Sydney Roosters Team News

Daniel Tupou and Dom Young both return to the lineup with Feta Pauga and Mark Nawaqanitawase making way. Nat Butcher returns from concussion protocols to the lock forward role. Naufahu Whyte moves to the bench.

Sydney Roosters Team List

1. James Tedesco

2. Daniel Tupou

3. Joseph Suaalii

4. Joey Manu

5. Dom Young

6. Luke Keary

7. Sandon Smith

8. Spencer Leniu

9. Connor Watson

10. Lindsay Collins

11. Angus Crichton

12. Sitili Tupouniua

13. Nat Butcher

Interchange

14. Zach Dockar-Clay

15. Naufahu Whyte

16. Siua Wong

17. Terrell May

Reserves

18. Michael Jennings

19. Blake Steep

20. Mark Nawaqanitawase

21. Jake Elliott

22. Salesi Foketi

Verdict

Penrith Panthers v Sydney Roosters

The Panthers with Cleary back on board should be too strong for this Roosters outfit missing Sam Walker, JWH and Radley. But with a low scoring affair predicted the +7.5 is too good to not take up.

Sydney Roosters +7.5

Line

@21/20 - 3 Units

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Game Total

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