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France vs Italy Betting Tips, Predictions & Odds - Weakened France to struggle against Italy

Ralph Staniforth

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Last updated: 27 Nov 2020

Ralph Staniforth 27 Nov 2020

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France play Italy in their final group match of the Autumn Nations Cup on Saturday
The match will be played at the Stade de France in Paris
France have rested 13 first choice players for this match against Italy
France are looking for their 5th straight win
France beat Italy 35-22 in the 2020 Six Nations

Expired

Italy can scare a weakened French side on Saturday (Getty Images)

France host Italy at the Stade de France in the final group stage fixture in the Autumn Nations Cup on Saturday. The hosts have been forced into making 13 changes if they want to be at full strength next weekend, so Italy will see this as an opportunity to cause an upset.

France Form

France have won their last four matches and finished second on points difference in the 2020 Six Nations. They are in prime position to finish top of their group in the Autumn Nations Cup which will set up a final with England next weekend.

Last week France saw off Scotland 22-15 at Murrayfield. It was an impressive display from France who notoriously struggle in Scotland. Prior to that France picked up a full house of five points because Fiji couldn’t field a team due to COVID-19 infections.

In the 2020 Six Nations France beat Italy 35-22 in what was their least convincing display in 2020.

France Team News

France have made 13 changes to the side that played Scotland last week. This is due to an agreement between the French Rugby Board and their local clubs. Players will only be available for three matches, so this is the one that France are sacrificing ahead of the finals next weekend.

Fly-half Jalibert and winger Teddy Thomas are the only players to retain their places from last weekend.

Italy Form

Italy lost all five matches in the 2020 Six Nations and then lost their opening match of the Autumn Nations Cup to Scotland 28-17 at home.

Last week Italy were handed five points as Fiji couldn’t field a team due to COVID-19 infections. This has allowed head coach Franco Smith an extra week to prepare for this match.

Italy Team News

Franco Smith has selected Maxime Mbanda and Johan Meyer to fill the loose trio along with Braam Steyn.

Loose forward Jake Polledri will miss this match after requiring knee surgery. Seb Negri is also unavailable as he has a thigh complaint.

France vs Italy Head to Head

France have won their last nine matches against Italy. Their last meeting took place in Paris in the 2020 Six Nations where a full-strength French outfit won 35-22.

France vs Italy Odds

France are favourites at 1.12 with Italy coming in at 6.00 with bet365. A draw is available at 34.00.

The handicap for the match is set at 14 points.

France vs Italy Match Up

Italy will go into this match confident that they can match a much changed French side upfront. If the visitors can get some dominance at set pieces and force penalties, it could be a struggle for France.

I expect France to eventually win this match but they are the mavericks of world rugby. With so many changes to their side it is difficult to predict what they may come up with.

France vs Italy Stats

France are missing 13 first choice players for this match.
France have won their last 4 matches.
Italy lost 35-22 in their last match against France (2020 Six Nations).
Italy have finished within 14 points of France in 2 of their last 3 matches.
Italy have lost their last 6 matches.
Italy finished within 14 points in their last match against Scotland.

France vs Italy FAQ

Where can I watch France vs Italy live stream online?

Check out our online streaming calendar for the France vs Italy live stream.

Where is the France vs Italy Autumn Nations Cup match being played?

The France vs Italy Autumn Nations Cup match is being played at Stade de France in Paris, France.

When is the France vs Italy Autumn Nations Cup match being played?

The France vs Italy match is being played on Saturday 28 November 2020 at 20:10 GMT.

Where can I get France vs Italy free bets?

Get France vs Italy free bets when you open a new betting account with an online bookmaker.

What competition are France vs Italy playing in?

France vs Italy is being played in Autumn Nations Cup.

Verdict

France v Italy

France are missing 13 first choice players so I'm backing Italy to finish within 14 points. There is an outside chance of Italy winning in France for only the second time ever.

Italy +14 Handicap

Handicap

@9/10 - 4 Units

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Bet at bet365

Italy Win

Full Time Result

@5/1 - 1 Unit

Bet £10 Get £30

with bonus code NEWBONUS

Bet at bet365