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France vs Italy Betting Tips, Predictions & Odds - Weakened France to struggle against Italy

  • France play Italy in their final group match of the Autumn Nations Cup on Saturday
  • The match will be played at the Stade de France in Paris
  • France have rested 13 first choice players for this match against Italy
  • France are looking for their 5th straight win
  • France beat Italy 35-22 in the 2020 Six Nations
France vs Italy rugby
Italy can scare a weakened French side on Saturday (Getty Images)
Ralph Staniforth 27 Nov 2020
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France vs Italy Betting Tips, Predictions & Odds - Weakened France to struggle against Italy

  • France play Italy in their final group match of the Autumn Nations Cup on Saturday
  • The match will be played at the Stade de France in Paris
  • France have rested 13 first choice players for this match against Italy
  • France are looking for their 5th straight win
  • France beat Italy 35-22 in the 2020 Six Nations


France host Italy at the Stade de France in the final group stage fixture in the Autumn Nations Cup on Saturday. The hosts have been forced into making 13 changes if they want to be at full strength next weekend, so Italy will see this as an opportunity to cause an upset.

France Form


France have won their last four matches and finished second on points difference in the 2020 Six Nations. They are in prime position to finish top of their group in the Autumn Nations Cup which will set up a final with England next weekend.

Last week France saw off Scotland 22-15 at Murrayfield. It was an impressive display from France who notoriously struggle in Scotland. Prior to that France picked up a full house of five points because Fiji couldn’t field a team due to COVID-19 infections.

In the 2020 Six Nations France beat Italy 35-22 in what was their least convincing display in 2020.

France Team News


France have made 13 changes to the side that played Scotland last week. This is due to an agreement between the French Rugby Board and their local clubs. Players will only be available for three matches, so this is the one that France are sacrificing ahead of the finals next weekend.

Fly-half Jalibert and winger Teddy Thomas are the only players to retain their places from last weekend.

Italy Form


Italy lost all five matches in the 2020 Six Nations and then lost their opening match of the Autumn Nations Cup to Scotland 28-17 at home.

Last week Italy were handed five points as Fiji couldn’t field a team due to COVID-19 infections. This has allowed head coach Franco Smith an extra week to prepare for this match.

Italy Team News


Franco Smith has selected Maxime Mbanda and Johan Meyer to fill the loose trio along with Braam Steyn.

Loose forward Jake Polledri will miss this match after requiring knee surgery. Seb Negri is also unavailable as he has a thigh complaint.

France vs Italy Head to Head


France have won their last nine matches against Italy. Their last meeting took place in Paris in the 2020 Six Nations where a full-strength French outfit won 35-22.

France vs Italy Odds


France are favourites at 1.12 with Italy coming in at 6.00 with bet365. A draw is available at 34.00.

The handicap for the match is set at 14 points.

France vs Italy Match Up


Italy will go into this match confident that they can match a much changed French side upfront. If the visitors can get some dominance at set pieces and force penalties, it could be a struggle for France. 

I expect France to eventually win this match but they are the mavericks of world rugby. With so many changes to their side it is difficult to predict what they may come up with.

France vs Italy Stats


  • France are missing 13 first choice players for this match.
  • France have won their last 4 matches.
  • Italy lost 35-22 in their last match against France (2020 Six Nations).
  • Italy have finished within 14 points of France in 2 of their last 3 matches.
  • Italy have lost their last 6 matches.
  • Italy finished within 14 points in their last match against Scotland.

France vs Italy FAQ

Where can I watch France vs Italy live stream online?

Check out our online streaming calendar for the France vs Italy live stream.

Where is the France vs Italy Autumn Nations Cup match being played?

The France vs Italy Autumn Nations Cup match is being played at Stade de France in Paris, France.

When is the France vs Italy Autumn Nations Cup match being played?

The France vs Italy match is being played on Saturday 28 November 2020 at 20:10 GMT.

Where can I get France vs Italy free bets?

Get France vs Italy free bets when you open a new betting account with an online bookmaker.

What competition are France vs Italy playing in?

France vs Italy is being played in Autumn Nations Cup.

US

Verdict

France are missing 13 first choice players so I'm backing Italy to finish within 14 points. There is an outside chance of Italy winning in France for only the second time ever.

Best Bet: Italy +14 Handicap Handicap @-111.11 at BetMGM - 4 Units
Value Bet: Italy Win Full Time Result @500.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 1 Unit

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