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Italy vs Scotland Betting Tips, Predictions & Odds – Value on Scotland in the handicap market

Ralph Staniforth

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Last updated: 13 Nov 2020

Ralph Staniforth 13 Nov 2020

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Italy host Scotland in the Autumn Nations Cup on Saturday
Scotland have won their last 8 matches against Italy
The Scots beat Italy 17-0 in the Six Nations earlier this year
Duncan Weir makes his first start since 2016 for Scotland

Expired

Scotland to continue to pile miseray on Italy (Getty Images)

Scotland will want to continue their fine run of form when they open their Autumn Nations Cup campaign against Italy in Florence on Saturday. The hosts are on a six-match losing streak and that is unlikely to end this weekend.

Italy Form

Italy come into the Autumn Nations Cup on the back of six successive defeats. That includes suffering defeat in all five 2020 Six Nations matches, which saw the Italians finish bottom.

Not only have they suffered defeat in six matches in a row, they have not finished within 13 points of any team.

They lost 42-0 to Wales in Cardiff before mounting some sort of fight in a 35-22 defeat to France in Paris. Scotland then took them down 17-0 in Rome.

That was followed by a 50-17 drubbing against Ireland before England saw them off 34-5 in their last match.

Italy Team News

Italy are beginning to look to the future with Paolo Garbisi starting at fly-half. Jake Polledri, Braam Steyn and Sebastian Negri will form a formidable loose trip.

Italy Starting Line Up & Replacements

Italy: 15 Matteo Minozzi, 14 Jacopo Trulla, 13 Marco Zanon, 12 Carlo Canna, 11 Mattia Bellini, 10 Paolo Garbisi, 9 Marcello Violi, 8 Jake Polledri, 7 Braam Steyn, 6 Sebastian Negri, 5 Niccolò Cannone, 4 Marco Lazzaroni, 3 Giosuè Zilocchi, 2 Luca Bigi (captain), 1 Danilo Fischetti.

Replacements: 16 Leonardo Ghiraldini, 17 Simone Ferrari, 18 Pietro Ceccarelli, 19 Johan Meyer, 20 Maxime Mbanda, 21 Stephen Varney, 22 Tommaso Allan, 23 Federico Mori.

Scotland Form

After a disappointing 2019 Rugby World Cup campaign, Scotland were impressive in the 2020 Six Nations as they finished fourth.

The Scots began the campaign with a 19-12 loss to Ireland in Dublin before succumbing to England 13-6 at Murrayfield. Scotland then won their next three games – 17-0 against Italy, 28-17 against France and finally 14-10 against Wales in Cardiff.

That run of results will give Scotland a major confidence boost considering they were not expected to win either of their last two matches.

Scotland Team News

Scotland are missing their first and second choice fly-halves in Finn Russell and Adam Hastings. The more than capable Duncan Weir will make his first start since 2016.

Scotland Starting Line Up & Replacements

Scotland: 15 Stuart Hogg, 14 Darcy Graham, 13 Chris Harris, 12 Sam Johnson, 11 Duhan van der Merwe, 10 Duncan Weir, 9 Ali Price, 8 Blade Thomson, 7 Hamish Watson, 6 Jamie Ritchie, 5 Jonny Gray, 4 Scott Cummings, 3 Zander Fagerson, 2 Stuart McInally, 1 Rory Sutherland.

Replacements: 16 George Turner, 17 Oli Kebble, 18 WP Nel, 19 Sam Skinner, 20 Nick Haining, 21 Sam Hidalgo-Clyne, 22 James Lang, 23 Blair Kinghorn.

Italy vs Scotland Head to Head

Scotland have won their last eight matches against Italy. When they met in the 2020 Six Nations, Scotland won 17-0 in Rome.

Italy vs Scotland Odds

Italy are priced at 4.50 to win with Scotland available at 1.20. The draw is paying 34.00 with bet365.

The handicap for this match is set at 11 points.

Italy vs Scotland Match Up

It will be a physical battle in Italy this weekend but Scotland should have enough class to get a comfortable win under their belt. Set pieces is something Italy will look to target but whether they can maintain it for 80 minutes and keep their discipline remains to be seen.

Italy vs Scotland Stats

Italy have lost their last 6 matches.
Italy have failed to finish within 11 points of the opposition in their last 6 matches.
Scotland have won their last 3 matches.
Scotland have won their last 8 matches against Italy.
Scotland have covered the -11 handicap in 7 of their last 8 matches against Italy.
Scotland beat Italy 17-0 earlier in 2020.

Italy vs Scotland FAQ

Where can I watch Italy vs Scotland live stream online?

Check out our online streaming calendar for the Italy vs Scotland live stream.

Where is the Italy vs Scotland Autumn Nations Cup match being played?

The Italy vs Scotland Autumn Nations Cup match will be played in Italy.

When is the Italy vs Scotland Autumn Nations Cup match being played?

The Italy vs Scotland match is being played on Saturday 14 November 2020 at 12:45 GMT.

Where can I get Italy vs Scotland free bets?

Get Italy vs Scotland free bets when you open a new betting account with an online bookmaker.

What competition are Italy vs Scotland playing in?

Italy vs Scotland is being played in Autumn Nations Cup.

Verdict

Italy v Scotland

Scotland are on a three-match winning run and that is tipped to continue. There is value in the handicap market with the Scots backed to cover -11 points.

Scotland -11 Handicap

Handicap

@9/10 - 5 Units

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