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La Rochelle vs Leinster Predictions & Tips - La Rochelle can upset the odds in Champions Cup semi-final

  • La Rochelle vs Leinster predictions for Sunday’s European Champions Cup semi-final match
  • Fixture is being played at 15:00 BST at Stade Marcel Defladre in La Rochelle
  • La Rochelle have won 12 of their last 13 home matches
  • I am backing La Rochelle to win
  • Preview, predictions, stats & team news
La Rochelle Rugby
La Rchelle of won 12 of their last 13 home matches (Getty Images)
Ralph Staniforth 30 Apr 2021
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La Rochelle vs Leinster Predictions


La Rochelle are very strong at home with 12 wins in their last 13 on their own patch. My best bet is La Rochelle with the handicap against Leinster.

  • La Rochelle have won 12 of their last 13 home matches (all competitions).
  • La Rochelle have lost by 4 or less points in 4 of their last 5 defeats.
  • Leinster have won 18 of their last 21 matches (all competitions).

Head to Head


Leinster and La Rochelle have never previously met.

La Rochelle Form


La Rochelle qualified for the semi-final of the European Champions Cup by seeing off Gloucester 27-16 in the round of 16 and Sale Sharks 45-21 in the quarter-final.

In the Top 14 La Rochelle are also enjoying a fine season as they sit second on the table, five points off Toulouse with a game in hand. It has been quite a breakthrough season for the men from La Rochelle.

Since their quarter-final victory over Sale, La Rochelle have only placed one match. That ended in a convincing 38-23 home victory over Lyon.

La Rochelle Injuries & Team News


Raymond Rhule was rested at the weekend and should return to outside centre. The former winger has been in the form of his life this season, one of the many reasons La Rochelle have enjoyed such a good season.

Leinster Form


Leinster received a bye into the quarter-final of the Champions Cup because Toulon couldn’t field a team due to COVID-19 infections. In the quarter-final Leinster beat defending European champions, Exeter Chiefs 34-22 away from home.

The Pro14 was completed at the end of March, a competition Leinster won yet again. They beat arch-rivals Munster, 16-6 in the final. During the tournament Leinster won 14 of their 16 matches.

This past weekend saw Leinster play the opening round of the Pro14 Rainbow Cup where they got hammered 27-3 at home by Munster. It is worth noting that it was not Leinster’s strongest side as they kept players fresh for this European semi-final.

Leinster Injuries & Team News


In a massive blow to Leinster, captain and flyhalf, Jonny Sexton has been ruled out of this match with concussion. Ross Byrne will replace Sexton in the no. 10 jersey.

James Ryan and Garry Ringrose are also both available after recently returning from injury.

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Verdict

La Rochelle have been exceptionally good at home with 12 wins in their last 13 matches. 

Leinster are a quality side but they are missing Jonny Sexton for this encounter.

I'm backing La Rochelle to finish within seven points of the Irish side and cause and upset.

Best Bet: La Rochelle +7 Handicap @100.00 at BetMGM - 3 Units
Value Bet: La Rochelle Win Full Time Result @187.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 1 Unit

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