Wellington vs Southland Predictions & Tips - Value on visitors in handicap market

Ralph Staniforth

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Last updated: 04 Sep 2024

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Ralph Staniforth 04 Sep 2024

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Wellington might rest key players due to a midweek game.
Southland has been competitive this season, winning 2 out of 4 games.
Wellington has an impeccable head-to-head record against Southland.

Expired

Wellington has won all 4 matches this season and sits second on the table (Getty Images)

Wellington vs Southland Preview

Southland have looked quite good this season and will fancy their chances of being competitive agianst the tournament favourites. The hosts also have a game on Wednesday, so they may rest a few key players.

Wellington vs Southland Preview
Head to Head
Wellington Form
Wellington Injuries & Team News
Southland Form
Southland Injuries & Team News

Wellington have won their last 4 matches.
Wellington have won their last 15 matches against Southland.
Wellington have covered the -20 handicap in 6 of their last 8 matches against Southland.
Southland have won 2 of their last 4 matches.

Head to Head

In the last 15 games between Wellington and Southland, Wellingto have won all of them.

Wellington Form

As expected, Wellington have made a strong start to the season, winning all four games to date. They are currently second on the table, five points behind Hawkes Bay with a game in hand.

Wellington are favourites to win the NPC this year, as they were in 2023 but were knocked out in the semis. Wellington beat Auckland, Taranaki and Manawatu in the opening three rounds.

Last weekend, Wellington went to Canterbury and thrashed the hosts 46-21 in a commanding performance. That win has set the tone of what we can expect for the rest of the season.

Wellington Injuries & Team News

Wellington will see this fixture as an opportunity to rest one or two key players, especially with a midweek fixture against Otago coming up on Wednesday.

Southland Form

Southland have made a very good start to their season considering they are usually fighting it out at the bottom of the table. They have won two of their four games and sit seventh on the table.

Southland began the season with a very impressive 22-13 home win over Otago before losing 31-17 at Hawkes Bay. In round three, Southland were again competitive against a top side in Taranaki, losing 39-24 at home.

Last weekend, Southland put in a fine performance to beat Northland 31-26 away from home.

Southland Injuries & Team News

Southland won’t want to change too much although this is a game they may feel is a stretch too far.

Verdict

Wellington v Southland

Wellington could rest players ahead of their midweek fixture. For that reason, I am backing Southland to get within 20 points.

Southland +20

Handicap

@10/11 - 3 Units

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