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Exeter vs Harlequins Predictions & Tips - Quins can upset the odds in Rugby Premiership final
- Exeter vs Harlequins predictions for Saturday’s English Rugby Premiership final
- Fixture is being played at 17:30 BST at Twickenham
- Harlequins have only lost 1 of their last 21 matches by more than 11 points
- I am backing Harlequins to win or lose by less than 11 points
- Preview, predictions, stats & team news
Harlequins lost 21-20 in their most recent match against Exeter Chiefs (Getty Images)
Exeter vs Harlequins Predictions
Harlequins are in impressive form and should be able to push Exeter all the way at Twickenham. The best bet for this match is for Harlequins to lose by less than 11 points but don’t discount the upset win.
- Exeter have won their last 8 matches.
- Exeter are the defending Rugby Premiership champions.
- Harlequins have won or lost by less than 11 points in 20 of their last 21 matches (Premiership).
- Harlequins lost their last match against Exeter by 1 point.
Head to Head
Exeter Chiefs have won both matches this season against the Harlequins. In their first encounter Exeter smashed Harlequins 33-3 but in round 13 the Harlequins came within a point on the road, losing 21-20.
Exeter Chiefs come into the final as defending champions of the English Rugby Premiership. In fact, they are into their sixth successive final, the second longest streak ever.
Last week the Chiefs had to overcome a very spirited Sale Sharks outfit in the semi-final. It was a tight encounter but home ground advantage told in the end with Exeter winning 40-30.
After being way off their best for large parts of the season, the fact that the Chiefs have still made the final speaks volumes for their resolve. They will fancy their chances when they step foot on the Twickenham pitch at the weekend.
Exeter Injuries & Team News
Exeter could go into the match with the same side that defeated Sale last weekend. Sam Skinner and Dane Ewers remain out through suspension.
Harlequins finished fourth in the regular Rugby Premiership season to qualify for the semi-final. They won 13 of their 22 matches during the round robin stage.
Finishing fourth meant a trip to the table topping Bristol for the semi-final, a match Bristol were expected to win. In what was a magnificent match where the lead switched between the two sides regularly, the match ended level after 80 minutes and extra time was required.
The Quins came out firing and scored early and late to secure a magnificent 43-36 away win. That will give them loads of confidence heading into the final. This is only the Harlequins second Premiership final after winning the competition in 2012.
Harlequins Injuries & Team News
The Harlequins have no reported injuries. After last week’s performance they will likely stick with a similar lineup.
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The Harlequins are in good form coming into the final and will fancy their chances of pushing the defending champions all the way. I am backing the Quins to finish within 11 points of Exeter and perhaps cause an upset.
Best Bet: Harlequins +11 Handicap @-111.11 at BetMGM - 4 Units
Value Bet: Harlequins Win Full Time Result @350.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 1 Unit