South Africa vs New Zealand Predictions & Tips - South Africa to make it four in a row against All Blacks

Ralph Staniforth

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Last updated: 05 Sep 2024

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Ralph Staniforth 05 Sep 2024

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South Africa aims to cover the -4 handicap against New Zealand in Cape Town.
Springboks remain unbeaten in the Championship, targeting their first win since 2019.
New Zealand seeks to rebound after dominating early but stumbling late in the previous match.

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South Africa vs New Zealand predictions focus on the Springboks covering the -4 handicap (Getty Images)

South Africa vs New Zealand Preview

South Africa were nowhere near their best last weekend and still managed to come away with victory. In Cape Town, I expect the hosts to be more efficient and cover the -4 handicap.

South Africa vs New Zealand Preview
Head to Head
South Africa Form
South Africa Injuries & Team News
New Zealand Form
New Zealand Injuries & Team News

South Africa have won their last 3 matches against New Zealand.
South Africa have won 16 of their last 18 matches.
New Zealand have lost 2 of their last 3 matches.
New Zealand have lost 2 of their last 3 matches against South Africa by 4 or less points.

Head to Head

The Springboks have won their last three matches against New Zealand. Last week, South Africa won 31-27.

South Africa Form

South Africa are in incredible form at the moment and look set to win the Rugby Championship for the first time since 2019. They are unbeaten in the first three matches of the tournament and picked up bonus point wins in the first two.

After thrashing Australia twice away from home in the opening two rounds, South Africa returned home for a double header against arch-rivals, New Zealand. The Springboks were favourites going into the match at Emirates Airline Park, but it was the All Blacks who made all the early plays.

South Africa were under constant pressure in the first half but managed to go into the sheds a point down. The All Blacks steamed out of the blocks in the second half, scoring an early try.

It looked like one of those days for South Africa again where they failed to live up to the favourites tag. However, the bench made all the difference in the final 20 minutes as the hosts won 31-27.

South Africa Injuries & Team News

Kurt-Lee Arendse is out with concussion so Canan Moodie gets his chance on the wing. Willie le Roux and Handre Pollard start in the 10 and 15 jerseys while Cobus Reinach is out of the squad completely.

New Zealand Form

New Zealand have won win from three matches in the Rugby Championship, not a position they often find themselves in. After losing to Argentina in round one, they bounced back to beat the same opponents in round two comfortably.

Form is often thrown out of the window when South Africa and New Zealand meet, and that was again the case this past weekend. New Zealand came at the hosts and dominated the first hour of the game, leading 27-17 at the 60-minute mark.

However, South Africa’s experience and quality bench paid off as the All Blacks made mistake after mistake in the final 20 minutes. The hosts scored two unanswered tries in that span to clinch a four-point win.

New Zealand Injuries & Team News

Scott Roberson has made a few changes to the side. Will Jordan moves to fullback with Sevu Reece coming into the side on the wing. Beauden Barrett is on the bench. Ethan Blackadder misses out through injury.

Verdict

South Africa v New Zealand

South Africa are backed to cover the -4 handicap against New Zealand in Cape Town. There may also be value in the try scoring markets.

South Africa -4

Handicap

@10/11 - 3 Units

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South Africa by 1-12

Winning Margin

@6/4 - 1 Unit

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