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Australia vs France 3rd Test Predictions & Tips - France can win decider at Suncorp Stadium

  • Australia vs France predictions for Saturday’s rugby international fixture
  • Match is being played at 11:00 BST at the Suncorp Stadium
  • The series is level at 1-1 after with one match to play
  • I am backing France in the handicap market
  • Preview, tips, stats & team news
Australia vs France rugby
France can upset the odds at the Suncorp Stadium (Getty Images)
Ralph Staniforth 16 Jul 2021
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Australia vs France Predictions


France have been superb in the opening two matches and are unfortunate not to lead 2-0. Both Test matches have ended with two point swings so my best bet is for Les Bleus to finish within five points of the Aussies.

  • Australia have won 2 of their last 9 matches.
  • Australia have failed to cover the -5 handicap in their last 11 matches against top tier opposition.
  • France won the 2nd Test 28-26.
  • France have won 9 of their last 14 matches.

Head to Head


Australia have won 10 of their last 13 matches against France. Australia narrowly escaped the first Test with a win but they couldn’t manage it in the second Test as France won 28-26 in Melbourne.

Australia Form


Australia are under pressure early in the season with the series level at 1-1 heading into the decider. The hosts were expected to perform far better after the French decided to rest many of their key players for this tour.

The Wallabies were first to admit that they got extremely fortunate in the first Test. France had the game in the bag but a huge error after the hooter allowed Australia to score and win 23-21.

The second Test in Melbourne followed a similar pattern to the first Test. France dominated early on before Australia clawed their way back into it. Over the 80 minutes France deserved the win though and they secured it (28-26) with a late penalty.

Australia Injuries & Team News


Head coach Dave Rennie has run out of patience and rung the changes for the third and final Test.

Many have called for Tate McDermott to start at scrumhalf and this week he will. There are six further changes to the side.

Lachie Swinton also gets a start as does Isi Naisarani, Allan Alaalatoa and the superb Darcy Swain.

France Form


France have been extremely impressive in the first two Test matches in Australia. Having not won in Australia since 1990, the odds were stacked in the hosts favour especially after the French arrived with a weakened squad.

The first Test at the Suncorp Stadium saw Australia win 23-21. It was however France who looked certain winners with the time up on the clock. They however failed to find touch with the final kick and the Wallabies took full advantage.

In the second Test it was Melvyn Jaminet who converted a late penalty to down Australia. They again dominated much of the match, especially on the physical front. The 28-26 win gives France a chance of an unlikely series win.

France Injuries & Team News


Fabian Galthie has shuffled his pack again for the third Test. Props Sipili Falatea and Enzo Forletta both return to the starting lineup. 

There is also a return for lock Romain Taofifenua and flank Dylan Cretin.

In the backline, experienced winger Teddy Thomas makes his first appearance of the tour. Antoine Hastoy starts at flyhalf and Pierre-Louis Barassie at centre.

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Verdict

The series is level at 1-1 with Australia and France each having won a Test by two points. This is expected to be another tight encounter with France tipped to finish within five points. An against the odds win for France is certainly on the table.

Best Bet: France +5 Handicap Handicap @100.00 at BetMGM - 3 Units
Value Bet: France Win Full Time Result @180.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 1 Unit

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