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Australia vs France Predictions & Tips - Confident France can be competitive in Melbourne

  • Australia vs France predictions for Tuesday’s rugby international fixture
  • Match is being played at 11:00 BST at AAMI Park
  • Australia won the 1st Test 23-21 thanks to a last minute penalty
  • I am backing France upset the Aussies in Melbourne
  • Preview, tips, stats & team news
Australia vs France rugby
France backed in handicap market against Australia (Getty Images)
Ralph Staniforth 13 Jul 2021
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Australia vs France Predictions


France showed in the 1st Test that they can compete despite their second string lineup. I am tipping them with the +9 handicap and to produce an upset win in Melbourne.

  • Australia have won 2 of their last 8 matches.
  • Australia have not covered the -9 handicap in their last 10 matches against top tier opposition.
  • Australia beat France 23-21 in the 1st Test.
  • France have won 8 of their last 13 matches.

Head to Head


Australia have won 10 of their last 12 matches against France. The Wallabies have not lost at home to France in their last 12 matches, a run that began back in 1990. 

In the 1st Test of this series Australia snatched a late 23-21 victory against France.

Australia Form


After an inconsistent 2020, Australia were looking for a strong start to 2021. France was always going to be a tough proposition and were the visitors at full strength, Australia would have been underdogs.

In the 1st Test at the Suncorp Stadium Australia were rusty, as can be expected. They started poorly and France pounced on their mistakes to take an early lead.

Gradually the Wallabies grew in the game without ever taking full control. By the end they were fortunate to get a last-gasp 23-21 victory. 

Australia Injuries & Team News


Dave Rennie has made just one change to his starting lineup. Prop Taniela Tupoi has been promoted from the bench to take the place of Allan Alaalatoa.

France Form


France will be over the moon with their performance in the 1st Test while at the same time extremely disappointed. 

Despite having a severely weakened team, France took full advantage of Australia’s errors early on in the match. Even when Australia started to dominate, the French never really looked in too much trouble.

On the scoreboard it got tight but the visitors held firm on defence. That was until the hooter had gone and all they needed to do was win a lineout and put the ball into touch. 

Unfortunately the lineout was scrappy, Australia turned the ball over and won a penalty in front of the uprights to win 23-21.

France Injuries & Team News


France head coach Fabien Galthie has made five changes to his side from the 1st Test. All five changes are in the pack.

Prop Wilfrid Hounkpatin and lock Pierre-Henri Azagoh both come into the side to make their debuts. In the back-row they are joined by Cameron Woki and Ibrahim Diallo. To complete an all new lock partnership, Cyril Cazeaux also starts.

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Verdict

I am backing France with the 9 point start after narrowly losing the 1st Test. Considering the last minute defeat last time out, an upset win is possible for the visitors.

Best Bet: France +9 Handicap @100.00 at BetMGM - 3 Units
Value Bet: France Win Full Time Result @275.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 1 Unit

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