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Italy vs South Africa Predictions & Tips - Italy to threaten another upset

18 Nov 2022
ralph-staniforth
Ralph Staniforth 18 Nov 2022
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  • Italy vs South Africa predictions for Saturday’s rugby international fixture
  • Match is being played at 13:00 GMT in Rome
  • Springboks have lost their last 2 games
  • Can the hosts cause another major shock?
  • Preview, predictions, stats & team news
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Italy Rugby
Italy can scare Springboks in Rome (Getty Images)

Italy vs South Africa Predictions


Italy are high on confidence with three wins in a row. Another upset isn’t off the cards this weekend but the Springboks are a different beast on their day. I do however feel that Italy have the confidence at the moment to get within the 18 point handicap.
  • Italy vs South Africa Predictions
  • Head to Head
  • Italy Form
  • Italy Injuries & Team News
  • South Africa Form
  • South Africa Injuries & Team News
  • Italy vs South Africa Live Stream FAQ

  • Italy have won their last 3 matches.
  • Italy have won or lost by less than 18 points in their last 4 matches.
  • South Africa have won 14 of their 15 matches against Italy.
  • South Africa have lost their last 2 matches.

Head to Head


South Africa have won 14 of their 15 matches against Italy. Italy’s only win against the Springboks came at home in 2016.

Last time they met South Africa thrashed Italy 49-3 at the 2019 Rugby World Cup. 

Italy Form


Italy will be full of confidence heading into this fixture on home soil. They are in great form and finally starting to show why they should be considered among the top nations.

Currently the Italians are on a three-match winning streak. They ended the Six Nations bottom of the table but did manage to beat Wales 22-21 away in their final match.

That was followed up with a 49-17 victory over Samoa to kick off their November internationals. Last week Italy caused a huge upset in beating Australia 28-27 on home soil.

Italy Injuries & Team News


Italy are expected to remain unchanged unless there are late injuries.

South Africa Form


South Africa will have mixed feelings about their form at the moment. They finished second to New Zealand in the Rugby Championship but the title was there for the taking.

While performing to a good standard during their opening two tour matches, the Springboks have come up just short against Ireland and France. That is in no way disastrous considering the two aforementioned sides are the top ranked sides in world rugby.

But, both matches were there to win for South Africa. Poor goal kicking cost them against Ireland despite dominating much of the match. The same can be said against France where the Boks had to play a man down from 70 minutes. 

South Africa Injuries & Team News


Damian de Allende shifts from inside to outside centre which sees Andre Esterhuizen start at 12. The rest of the backline remains the same.

Among the forwards Jasper Wiese comes back into the side at eight while Marvin Orie and Salmaan Moerat start as a lock pairing. 

Italy vs South Africa Live Stream FAQ

Where can I watch Italy vs South Africa live stream?

Check our live streaming calendar to see where to watch Italy vs South Africa live stream

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Verdict

South Africa are clear favourites but Italy are in fine form. I am backing the hosts to get within the 18 point handicap.

Best Bet: Italy +18 Handicap @11/10 at Hollywood bets - 4 Units
Italy +18
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@11/10 - 4 Units
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19 Nov 2022

Italy v South Africa