Japan vs Wales Predictions & Tips - Japan can edge tight contest
- Despite a 17-match losing streak, Wales are favorites against Japan.
- Japan hopes to leverage hot weather conditions to their advantage.
- Wales leads the head-to-head 13-1, but Japan could surprise with Eddie Jones back as coach.
Japan vs Wales Predictions
Wales are favourites despite losing their last 17 matches. That says quite a bit about Japan's own form, but it is meant to be a very hot day, which will favour the hosts.
- Japan vs Wales Predictions
- Head to Head
- Japan Form
- Japan Team News
- Wales Form
- Wales Team News
I can see this being a tight contest with Japan at least getting with in 9.5 points.
- Japan have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Japan have conceded 50+ points in 3 of their last 4 matches.
- Wales have won 13 of their 14 matches against Japan.
- Wales have lost their last 17 matches.
Head to Head
Wales lead 13-1 against Japan in 14 matches.
Japan Form
This will be Japan’s first official test match of the 2025 calendar year. They last played on their Northern Hemisphere tour in 2024.
For the last decade, Japan have continued to improve as a rugby power, however, they have dropped somewhat after their spectacular run to the 2019 Rugby World Cup quarterfinal. They still possess plenty of ability and with Eddie Jones back at the helm, the fans will hope that their 2015-2019 form can be replicated.
Last year, Jan conceded 50+ points to New Zealand, France and England during November. They did manage one win against Uruguay. At home, they will hope to challenge or even beat a Welsh side struggling for confidence.
Japan Team News
Japan players will be fresh after their league season ended almost a month ago. They will be rearing to go against a struggling Welsh side who certainly won’t be accustomed to the heat that faces them on Saturday.
Wales Form
Wales are perhaps at their lowest ebb since rugby turned professional in the mid-90s. They have lost an incredible 17 straight fixtures and finished bottom of the Six Nations table this year.
The last time Wales won a game of rugby was during the pools stage of the 2023 Rugby World Cup. They will want to end that unwanted streak against Japan this weekend.
A 2-0 series win in Japan will not end the Welsh slump, but it could give the players some confidence ahead of a few bigger fixtures at the end of the year.
Wales Team News
The one positive for Wales in this miserable 17-match losing streak is that only a couple of their players made the British & Irish Lions squad. That means they have a close to full strength squad available for this tour. Conditions in Japan is going to be tough though with searing mid-afternoon heat set for Saturday.
Verdict
Japan are backed to get within the +9.5 handicap with a possibility of a win.
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