• Home
  • Rugby Union
  • Rugby Union Internationals
timer

This preview has expired.

See all our latest betting tips or suggested betting sites

Japan vs Wales Predictions & Tips - Japan can edge tight contest

ralph-staniforth
Editor
Last updated: 02 Jul 2025
Ralph Staniforth 02 Jul 2025
Share this article
Or copy link
  • Despite a 17-match losing streak, Wales are favorites against Japan.
  • Japan hopes to leverage hot weather conditions to their advantage.
  • Wales leads the head-to-head 13-1, but Japan could surprise with Eddie Jones back as coach.
Expired
Japan vs Wales
Japan have conceded 50+ points in 3 of their last 4 matches. (Getty Images)

Japan vs Wales Predictions


Wales are favourites despite losing their last 17 matches. That says quite a bit about Japan's own form, but it is meant to be a very hot day, which will favour the hosts. 
  • Japan vs Wales Predictions
  • Head to Head
  • Japan Form
  • Japan Team News
  • Wales Form
  • Wales Team News

I can see this being a tight contest with Japan at least getting with in 9.5 points.

  • Japan have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Japan have conceded 50+ points in 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • Wales have won 13 of their 14 matches against Japan.
  • Wales have lost their last 17 matches.

Head to Head


Wales lead 13-1 against Japan in 14 matches.

Japan Form


This will be Japan’s first official test match of the 2025 calendar year. They last played on their Northern Hemisphere tour in 2024.

For the last decade, Japan have continued to improve as a rugby power, however, they have dropped somewhat after their spectacular run to the 2019 Rugby World Cup quarterfinal. They still possess plenty of ability and with Eddie Jones back at the helm, the fans will hope that their 2015-2019 form can be replicated.

Last year, Jan conceded 50+ points to New Zealand, France and England during November. They did manage one win against Uruguay. At home, they will hope to challenge or even beat a Welsh side struggling for confidence.

Japan Team News


Japan players will be fresh after their league season ended almost a month ago. They will be rearing to go against a struggling Welsh side who certainly won’t be accustomed to the heat that faces them on Saturday.

Wales Form


Wales are perhaps at their lowest ebb since rugby turned professional in the mid-90s. They have lost an incredible 17 straight fixtures and finished bottom of the Six Nations table this year.

The last time Wales won a game of rugby was during the pools stage of the 2023 Rugby World Cup. They will want to end that unwanted streak against Japan this weekend.

A 2-0 series win in Japan will not end the Welsh slump, but it could give the players some confidence ahead of a few bigger fixtures at the end of the year.

Wales Team News


The one positive for Wales in this miserable 17-match losing streak is that only a couple of their players made the British & Irish Lions squad. That means they have a close to full strength squad available for this tour. Conditions in Japan is going to be tough though with searing mid-afternoon heat set for Saturday.

Verdict

Japan are backed to get within the +9.5 handicap with a possibility of a win.

Best Bet1: Japan +9.5 Handicap @10/11 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Japan Win Result @9/4 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Japan +9.5
Handicap
@10/11 - 3 Units
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywood bets
Japan Win
Result
@9/4 - 1 Unit
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

Bet at bet365

Top Betting Sites

special-offer-1Betting offers

Upcoming Events

05 Jul 2025

Japan v Wales