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South Africa vs Italy 1st Test Predictions & Tips - South Africa to ease past Italy

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: 04 Jul 2025
Ralph Staniforth 04 Jul 2025
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  • South Africa is expected to win the match against Italy comfortably.
  • Italy has rested some key players, affecting their competitive edge.
  • Reigning world champions, the Springboks, boast strong form and a comprehensive lineup.
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South Africa vs Italy rugby
South Africa have won 15 of their 16 matches against Italy. (Getty Images)

South Africa vs Italy Preview


Italy have rested some key players for this tour, so it is likely that the Springboks will win comfortably. I'm backing the hosts to cover -39.5.
  • South Africa vs Italy Preview
  • Head to Head
  • South Africa Form
  • South Africa Injuries & Team News
  • Italy Form
  • Italy Injuries & Team News

  • South Africa have won 15 of their 16 matches against Italy.
  • South Africa have won 10 of their last 11 matches.
  • South Africa have covered the -40.5 handicap in their last 2 matches against Italy.
  • South Africa scored 50+ points in their last match.
  • Italy have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.

Head to Head


Italy have only managed one win over South Africa in 16 attempts.

South Africa Form


South Africa are the reigning world champions and Rugby Championship champions. Ranked no.1 in the world puts a target on their back ahead of the 2027 Rugby World Cup but their form has thus far backed up their dominance.

This is the first official international match of the season for the Springboks, however, they did play an unofficial test last week against a strong Barbarians side. It was a dominant performance by the world champions though, winning the game 54-7 in Cape Town.

This two-match series against Italy is crucial for the Rassie Erasmus and the players as they prepare for the Rugby Championship in a couple of months. We may see some new faces over the next three weeks.

South Africa Injuries & Team News


Rassie Erasmus is not holding any punches with his team selection. Vincent Tshituka makes his official debut while Morne van den Berg starts at nine. The rest of the squad is littered with caps and World Cup medals.

Italy Form


Italy are fast becoming a real force in world rugby. They are no longer the minnows they were for a rather long time, consistently competitive against bigger sides and have a few wins to boot.

The Italians only won one Six Nations game this season, beating Wales 22-15 at home. They ran Ireland close, losing 22-15 while France thrashed them.

Last week, Italy played a test against Namibia, winning 73-6 but the real business starts on Saturday.

Italy Injuries & Team News


Italy are not at full-strength for this tour, opting to rest a few key players. However, there are still some very experienced names in the side. They have made seven changes from last week’s win over Namibia.

Verdict

South Africa are tipped to cover the -40.5 handicap.

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