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Tonga vs Italy Predictions & Tips - Italy set for win in Tonga

Last updated: 10 Jul 2024
Ralph Staniforth 10 Jul 2024
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  • Italy has shown strong form this year despite a defeat to Samoa.
  • Tonga last won against Italy in 2016 and has lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Italy expected to cover the -9 handicap against Tonga.
Italy rugby 2023 world cup
Italy can beat Tonga on the road (Getty Images)

Tonga vs Italy Predictions

Italy have been very good this year despite their defeat to Samoa last weekend. I fancy them to bounce back with victory against Tonga.
  • Tonga vs Italy Predictions
  • Head to Head
  • Tonga Form
  • Tonga Injuries & Team News
  • Italy Form
  • Italy Injuries & Team News

  • Italy are unbeaten in 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • Tonga won their last match against Italy in 2016.
  • Tonga have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

Head to Head

These two last met in 2016, a match Tonga won 19-17.

Tonga Form

Tonga have not played rugby since the conclusion of the 2023 Rugby World Cup. They only managed one win in that tournament.

After losing to Ireland, Scotland and South Africa by 28+ points, Tonga eventually got a World Cup win when they beat Romania 45-24 in their final group game.

Tonga will now look to start rebuilding towards the next Rugby World Cup where they will hope for a better showing.

Tonga Injuries & Team News

Tonga have a host of fresh players after quite a few players retired post the World Cup.

Italy Form

Italy had a disastrous Rugby World Cup in 2023. They were never expected to advance with France and New Zealand in their group, but their improvement ahead of the tournament showed that they would be competitive.

In the end, they shipped 90+ points against the All Blacks and 60 against France. The Italians did beat Uruguay and Namibia in the group stage, albeit without being convincing.

During the Six Nations Italy were back to their normal selves. They beat Scotland at home, beat Wales away and drew 13-all in France. They also only lost by three points to England at home.

Last week, Italy suffered a 33-25 loss to Samoa.

Italy Injuries & Team News

Italy has a full-strength side available.


I am backing Italy to cover the -9 handicap.

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