Rugby World Cup 2019 Top Points Scorer Betting Tips - Pollard predicted to be top points scorer in Japan

Pollard’s attacking skills primed to earn Springbok fly-half top points award
Handre Pollard
Handre Pollard is tipped to be the 2019 Rugby World Cup leading points scorer (Getty Images)

Rugby World Cup 2019 Top Points Scorer Betting Tips, Free Bets & Betting Sites


One of the more popular betting markets prior to any Rugby World Cup is the top points scorer market. Every previous winner has been a goal kicker and it will most certainly not change in Japan this year.

The highest amount of tries scored in a World Cup has been eight (40 points) while the lowest top points scorer winner has been 62 points by South Africa’s Morne Steyn in the 2011 edition. In order to decide your best bet one has to consider accuracy of respective goal kickers, opposition, how often they are likely to be rested and how far the team is likely to progress in the competition.

The only previous winner of the prize participating in the 2019 Rugby World Cup is Argentina’s Nicolas Sanchez who scored the most points in 2015.

Considering the opposition is important but perhaps not as much as when looking at the top try-scoring market. Every game there are points on offer for goal kickers but there could be more opportunity against certain teams.

Rugby World Cup 2019 - Top Point Scorer Betting Odds


 South Africa’s Handre Pollard leads the betting odds to be the World Cup’s top points scorer, closely followed by England’s Owen Farrell and New Zealand's Richie Mo'unga. 

Wales' Leigh Halfpenny has blown out while Japan's Yu Tamura has come into 11.00. Odds from bet365 and correct as on 8 October 2019:

Player
Country
Odds
Handre Pollard South Africa 3.50
Owen Farrell England3.75
Richie Mo'unga New Zealand 3.75
Yu Tamura Japan11.00
Jonathan SextonIreland15.00
Romain Ntamack France21.00
Beauden BarrettNew Zealand26.00
Dan BiggarWales26.00
Source: bet365

Rugby World Cup Top Points Scorer History


All eight Rugby World Cup’s top points scorers have been goal kickers. They have mostly been at fly-half with the odd exception like Percy Montgomery in 2007 – he played full-back but was South Africa’s goal kicker.

Year
Player
Country
Position
Points
2015Nicolas SanchezArgentinaFly-half97
2011Morne SteynSouth AfricaFly-half62
2007Percy MontgomerySouth AfricaFull-back105
2003Johnny WilkinsonEnglandFly-half113
1999Gonzalo QuesadaArgentinaFly-half102
1995Thierry LacroixFranceFly-half112
1991Ralph KeyesIrelandFly-half68T
1987Grant FoxNew ZealandFly-half126

Rugby World Cup Top Points Scorer Contenders


Owen Farrell

England’s captain Owen Farrell leads the betting stakes to be the leading points scorer. Farrell is a regular fly-half but covers inside centre as well but regardless of his position, he is England’s first choice goal kicker.

He is a very valid choice and probably deserved favourite with an 82% kicking success rate in 2019. With England expected to progress to at least the quarter final stage and most likely the semi final or further, he will have plenty of opportunity to build his tally.

My best guess is that most first choice fly-halves will start three pool stage games and rest two. Farrel has had a fantastic 2019 thus far, scoring 110 points. These points came via two tries, 26 conversions, 15 penalty goals and one drop goal.

owen farrell england
Will Farrell is the favourite to be the top World Cup point scorer but he'll need England to go deep into the tournament (Getty Images)

Handre Pollard

Handre Pollard has over the past two seasons cemented himself as not only the first choice Springbok fly-half, but one of the world’s best to wear the number 10 jersey. Much like Farrell, Pollard can cover at inside centre too but he is unlikely to play that role at the World Cup.

Much of South Africa’s attacking play revolves around the Bulls fly-half. What makes him an appetising prospect is the fact that Pollard is a fine attacking fly-half who is a regular try-scorer to go with his deadly accurate goal kicking.

Handre Pollard ended the 2019 Super Rugby competition as the leading points scorer with 194 points. He also topped the 2019 Rugby Championship points table with 42 points in two matches. I am favouring Pollard slightly over Owen Farrell mainly because I think he will kick at goal on a more regular basis and he is capable of scoring a number of tries.

I am tipping Handre Pollard to be the 2019 Rugby World Cup top points scorer.

Richie Mo’unga

I am exceptionally surprised to see Richie Mo’unga as fourth favourite to end the tournament as the top points scorer. He had an incredible season with the Crusaders as they went on to lift the trophy and also finished as the second top points scorer in the competition. 

At the national level however it is not sure whether he will be first choice and even if he is, Beauden Barrett will likely be the goal kicker. Both Mo’unga and Beauden Barrett are very valid candidates. 

Beauden Barrett

Beauden Barrett is quite possibly the finest rugby player on the planet, he can most certainly be considered the best fly-half in the world. Perhaps many will argue because Steve Hansen has mostly played him at full-back this season.

A return to the fly-half position is not certain as we approach the World Cup. Regardless of where he starts he is generally the All Blacks goal kicker. The problem I have with Barrett is his goal kicking inconsistency.

He has put in superb goal kicking displays over his career but over the last 18 months he has produced some very ordinary performances from the tee. Most notably against South Africa 2018 when the All Blacks suffered a home 36-34 defeat.

Should Beauden Barrett start at full-back, Richie Mo'unga could take over goal kicking responsibility if things go awry for the multiple World Rugby Player of the Year winner.

Beauden barrett all blacks
Beauden Barrett is probably the best all-round fly-half around but his inconsistent goal kicking could cost him in this market (Getty Images)

Rugby World Cup Top Points Scorer Outsiders


Ireland’s Jonny Sexton could be another to run this market close. He is a better pick in my opinion than both Richie Mo’unga and Beauden Barrett as he is the definite goal kicker for Ireland and first choice. Fitness has recently been an issue for Sexton which is the one negative.

nicolas sanchez
Nicolas Sanchez scored the most points at the 2015 World Cup and he'll need Argentina to reach the semi's again if he wants to maintain his crown (Getty Images)

Two of the best goal kickers at the tournament come from Wales in Leigh Halfpenny and Dan Biggar. Biggar is in a heated battle with Rhys Patchell to start at fly-half however and that makes things a bit difficult. Halfpenny is not a first choice player but injuries could always push him into a starting birth.

Bernard Foley is another option and was superb at the last World Cup, but will Australia progress past the quarter final stage? If they do, Foley offers fantastic value.

Rugby World Cup Top Points Scorer Key Statistics


  • South Africa’s Handre Pollard topped the 2019 Super Rugby points scoring list with 194 points.
  • South Africa’s Handre Pollard topped the 2019 Super Rugby points scoring list with 42 points (2 matches).
  • New Zealand’s Beauden Barrett has struggled with his goal kicking in recent times.

Verdict

Handre Pollard topped the points scoring charts in the 2019 Super Rugby competition as well as the 2019 Rugby Championship. I think there is value in Pollard to be the top points scorer at the 2019 Rugby World Cup. 

Take advantage of the bet365 Rugby World Cup Early Payout promotion. Sign up to bet365 using the bonus code NEWBONUS and get paid out if the team you back goes 15 points ahead at any stage in the match.


Rugby World Cup Top Point Scorer Tip: Handre Pollard @ 3.50 at bet365 - 5 Units

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