Rugby World Cup 2019 Top Try Scorer Betting Tips - Sevu Reece still in the hunt for top try scorer award

New Zealand historically dominate the leading try scorer list at World Cup time
Sevu Reece all blacks
Sevu Reece was the highest try-scorer in the 2019 Super Rugby and is tipped to carry form into World Cup (Getty Images)

Rugby World Cup 2019 Top Try Scorer Betting Tips, Free Bets & Betting Sites


The 2019 Rugby World Cup features plenty of markets to choose from when it comes to betting and bookmaker bet365 have it all covered. We have already previews the Name the Finalist market and the Outright Winner Market, below we look into and offer tips on the Top Try-Scorer market.

This market offers plenty of value but picking the right player can be tricky. A few things that one needs to consider – form, team playing style, how far the team is likely to progress, how often will a player be rested and perhaps most importantly, who the opposition teams are.

Whoever ends as the top try-scorer will most likely score the majority of their tries during the pool stage. In 1995 New Zealand winger Marc Ellis finished level first with Jonah Lomu but wasn’t even a first choice player. He scored six of his seven tries in one match – a 145-17 romp of Japan.

Every previous Rugby World Cup top try-scorer has been won by an outside-back (wing or full-back) and I don’t see it changing in Japan.

Rugby World Cup 2019 - Top Tryscorer Betting Odds


All Black wing Sevu Reece has been overtaken by Wales' Josh Adams, Japan's Kotaro Matsushima and South Africa's Makazole Mapimpi in the Rugby World Cup 2019 Top Tryscorer market. Adams was listed at 29.00 last week and has stormed to facouritism with five tries in Japan.

South Africa's Makazole Mapimpi is still in with a shout alongside Sevu Reece and Japan's Kenki Fukuoka. Odds from bet365 and correct as of 9 October 2019.

Player
Country
Odds
Josh AdamsWales2.25
Kotaro Matsushima Japan4.50
Makazole Mapimpi South Africa 9.00
Sevu ReeceNew Zealand11.00
Kenki FukuokaJapan11.00
Bongi Mbonambi South Africa 19.00
George Bridge New Zealand 21.00
Dane Haylett-Petty Australia23.00
Cheslin KolbeSouth Africa26.00
Source: bet365

Rugby World Cup Top Try Scorer History


A player from New Zealand has ended the Rugby World Cup as the leading try scorer in five of the completed eight tournaments. Another fact that should be considered is that every player to have won the award was an outside-back (wing or full-back).

YearPlayerCountryPositionTries
2015 Julian Savea New Zealand Wing 8
2011 Chris Ashton, Vincent Clerc England, France Wing 6
2007 Bryan Habana South Africa Wing 8
2003 Doug Howlett, Mils Muliaina New Zealand Wing/Full-back 7
1999 Jonah Lomu New Zealand Wing 8
1995 Jonah Lomu, Marc Ellis New Zealand Wing 7
1991 Jean-Batiste Lafond, David Campese France, Australia Wing/Full-back 6
1987 Craig Green, John Kirwan New Zealand Wing 6

Rugby World Cup Top Try Scorer Top Contenders


Sevu Reece - New Zealand (6.50)

The rise of Sevu Reece has been quite spectacular, only making his debut for the Crusaders in Super Rugby in March 2019. Reece ended the 2019 Super Rugby competition as the leading try-scorer with 14 tries as the Crusaders went on to claim the Super Rugby title. 

Steve Hansen rewarded this form with a call-up to the national squad but many expected it to be a call-up to gain experience. 

The All Black season didn’t go as well as they would have hoped which led to some stars being dropped for their final match against Australia. Reece came in on the wing and contributed greatly to New Zealand’s 36-0 victory over the Wallabies, scoring one try of his own.

While I think New Zealand will struggle at the World Cup they do have the lowest ranked team in their pool – Namibia. They could quite easily put a big score on them and if Reece starts, he could have a field day.

Regardless of form, New Zealand will always score tries and I am tipping Sevu Reece to end the World Cup as the top try-scorer.

Jonny May - England (15.00)

Jonny May is a world class rugby player but it surprises me that he comes in at fourth favourite. May is exceptional on his day but his strike rate isn’t great having scored 24 tries in 48 international matches.

It isn’t a poor record at all but compared the aforementioned three it is well below their standard. The main reason this offers little value in my opinion is the group that England finds themselves in. 

With France and Argentina in the same group I just don’t see May or any other English player threatening the top try-scorer market.

Rugby World Cup Top Try Scorer Outsiders


Veteran All Black Ben Smith cannot be discounted. The fleet footed Smith has scored 34 tries in 80 test matches but has not been in great form this year. Fellow New Zealander George Bridge is not first choice but if he gets the chance against the minnows he could get a good amount. 

sbu nkosi south africa
South Africa's Sbu Nkosi has had a terrific season for the Springboks but whether he will play the lesser teams remains to be seen (Getty Images)

Rugby World Cup Top Try Scorer Key Statistics


  • New Zealand’s Sevu Reece scored a try on debut and is likely to be a starter.
  • New Zealand’s Sevu Reece scored the most tries (14) in the 2019 Super Rugby tournament.
  • New Zealand have scored 100+ points in a single match on 3 occasions.
  • New Zealand outside backs have won the leading try-scorer in 5 of the 8 Rugby World Cup’s.

Verdict

History suggests that the top try-scorer at the Rugby World Cup goes to a winger from New Zealand. Sevu Reece has had an incredible season and is my tip to be the 2019 Rugby World Cup top try-scorer.

Take advantage of the bet365 Rugby World Cup Early Payout promotion. Sign up to bet365 using the bonus code NEWBONUS and get paid out if the team you back goes 15 points ahead at any stage in the match.

Rugby World Cup Try-Scorer Tip: Sevu Reece @ 11.00 at bet365 - 2 Units

Top Bookmakers

Upcoming Events

15 February 2020

11 March 2020

  • Cheltenham Festival 2020
  • -
  • Horse Racing
Betting Slip

Rugby World Cup Try-Scorer Tip

Bet 2 Win 22.00
Sevu Reece
Bonus Bets
More bonus bets
See all reviews