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France vs Scotland Predictions & Tips - Scotland backed to stop France from claiming Six Nations title

  • France vs Scotland predictions for Friday’s Six Nations encounter
  • Fixture is being played at 20:00 GMT at the Stade de France
  • Scotland have not lost by more than 15 points in their last 12 matches
  • I am backing Scotland to finish within 15 points of France
  • Preview, predictions, stats & team news
France vs Scotland 2020 Six Nations
Scotland can finish within 15 points of France at the Stade de France in Six Nations decider (Getty Images)
Ralph Staniforth 26 Mar 2021
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France vs Scotland Predictions

France must win by 21 or more points and score four tries to secure the Six Nations title. It is a tall order against a Scotland side that has produced some impressive rugby over the last two years.

The French will have to chase the game from the outset which will offer Scotland plenty of opportunities. My best bet is for Scotland to finish within 15 points of France.

  • France have won their last 7 home matches.
  • France have won their last 12 home matches against Scotland.
  • France’s last 2 victories have come by a 2 point margin.
  • France have failed to win by 15+ points in 10 of their last 12 victories against Scotland.
  • Scotland have not lost by more than 15 points in their last 12 matches.

Head to Head

France and Scotland are level at 4-4 over their last eight matches. 

When they met in the 2020 Autumn Nations Cup it was France who ran out 22-15 winners at Murrayfield. Scotland have not managed to win in France since 1999, a run of 12 matches.

France Form

France are third on the Six Nations table with one match to play. They are level with Ireland on 15 points with Wales five clear on 20 points.

This is the postponed fixture from round three so France have the benefit of knowing exactly what they must do to claim the Six Nations title. Les Bleus must claim a four-try bonus point victory and win by 21 points to win the Six Nations title this year.

France began their campaign with a 50-10 victory over Italy before seeing off Ireland 15-13 in Dublin. After a two week break due to COVID-19 infections, France returned to action with a 23-20 defeat to England at Twickenham.

Last week France had to win to keep their hopes of the title alive. They just managed to do that in a 32-30 win over Wales at home. The point Wales got for losing by less than seven points could however be crucial in the title race.

France Injuries & Team News

France have made five changes to their side that narrowly defeated Wales last weekend.

Teddy Thomas drops to the bench with Gael Fickou moving to the wing from centre. Arthur Vincent will start in the vacant inside centre position.

Flyhalf Matthieu Jalibert is missing this weekend after getting a knock to the head against Italy. Regular first choice Romain Ntamack will take his place in the number 10 jersey.

Among the forwards, Anthony Jelonch comes in at flank. Dylan Cretin drops to the bench.

Scotland Form

Scotland are fourth on the Six Nations table and guaranteed to finish there at the very least. A bonus point victory could push them to second, however that does seem an unlikely outcome.

The Scots began the Six Nations with an 11-6 win over England away. It was their first win in England since 1983.

At that point the Scots must have thought the title is a possibility but they suffered a 25-24 defeat to Wales at home the following weekend. It was a match Scotland should have won but for a red card in the second half.

Scotland had another heartbreaking defeat in their next match, this time they lost 27-24 to Ireland at Murrayfield. In their last match, Scotland cruised to a 52-10 win over Italy.

Scotland Injuries & Team News

In a big boost to Scotland, flyhalf Finn Russell returns this week after missing the Italy game due to concussion. His regular halfback partner, Ali Price is also reinstated after getting a rest in the last match.

There is only one change in the forward pack with hooker George Turner coming back into the side.

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France are tremendous at home but they have not been putting big margins on teams recently. Scotland are in fine form themselves so I'm backing the visitors with the +15 point handicap.

Best Bet: Scotland +15 Handicap Handicap @100.00 at BetMGM - 3 Units

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