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Italy vs Ireland Predictions & Tips - Value on Ireland in handicap market

  • Italy vs Ireland predictions for Saturday’s Six Nations fixture
  • Match is being played at 14:45 GMT at the Stadio Olympico in Rome
  • Ireland have won their last 10 matches against Italy
  • I am backing Ireland to win by more than 22 points
  • Preview, predictions, stats & team news
Italy vs Ireland six nations
Ireland have comfortably beaten Italy in five of their last seven matches (Getty Images)
Ralph Staniforth 26 Feb 2021
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Italy vs Ireland Predictions


Ireland have played reasonably well this season despite two results edging towards the opposition. Italy on the other hand have been weak on attack and defensively, conceding 40+ in their last two matches. My best bet is for Ireland to cover the -22 handicap.

  • Ireland have won by 22+ points in 5 of their last 7 matches against Italy.
  • Italy have lost by 40 & 23 points in their last 2 matches.
  • Italy have lost their last 9 matches.

Head to Head


Ireland have won their last 10 matches against Italy. When they met in the 2020 Six Nations, Ireland were 50-17 winners in Dublin.

Italy have only beaten Ireland four times in their 32 previous matches. Three of those came in the mid 90s while they also managed a win in 2013.

Italy Form


Italy look destined to finish yet another Six Nations campaign at the foot of the table. Worse yet, they don’t look capable of upsetting the odds against any side.

On the opening weekend Italy got destroyed 50-10 against France before losing 41-18 against England. Franco Smith has picked many young players but supporters won’t stand for these performances much longer.

In both matches, Italy were completely outplayed for large parts of the game. Their new style under  Smith has not yet sunk it, and is perhaps not all that conducive to Northern Hemisphere rugby.

Italy Injuries & Team News


Franco Smith has picked the same starting lineup that lost to England last time out.

Ireland Form


Ireland’s chances of winning the Six Nations this season are all but gone. They have lost their opening two matches against Wales and France.

Andy Farrell’s side were unfortunate on the opening weekend in Wales. They dominated the opening periods and built a lead but a red card allowed Wales to come back and win 21-16.

In their last match, Ireland lost 15-13 at home to France. It was a very physical clash with neither side giving an inch. The French quality was however enough to see them hand Ireland a second consecutive defeat.

Ireland Injuries & Team News


Andy Farrell has rung the changes as he takes this opportunity to rest a few players. 

Scrumhalf, Conor Murray has not been passed fit so Jamison Gibson Park will partner Jonny Sexton at half-back.

Rob Herring, Cian Healy, Andrew Porter, Jack Conan, Billy Burns, Keith Earls and debutants, Craig Casey and Ryan Baird all start.

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Verdict

Ireland have beaten Italy by more than 22 points in five of their last seven matches. The Italians have also suffered two successive heavy defeats this season. I'm backing Ireland to cover the -22 handicap.

Best Bet: Ireland -22 Handicap Handicap @100.00 at BetMGM - 3 Units

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