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Brumbies vs Rebels Predictions & Tips - Rebels can push brilliant Brumbies to the brink

  • Brumbies vs Rebels predictions for Saturday’s Super Rugby AU fixture
  • Match is being played at 08:45 GMT at GIO Stadium in Canberra
  • The Brumbies have won 17 of their last 18 home games
  • I am backing the Rebels to win or lose by less than 14 points
  • Preview, predictions, stats & team news
Rebels vs Brumbies
Rebels can push Brumbies in Canberra (Getty Images)
Ralph Staniforth 05 Mar 2021
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Brumbies vs Rebels Predictions


While the Brumbies have a very impressive home record, they could be brought down to earth on Saturday. These two are generally very competitive and over recent fixtures the Rebels have had the better of it. My best bet is for the Rebels to lose by less than 14 points.

  • Brumbies have failed to cover the -14 handicap in 11 of their last 12 matches against the Rebels.
  • Brumbies have won 17 of their last 18 matches at home.
  • Rebels won 30-12 in their last match against the Brumbies.
  • Rebels have won 5 of their last 7 matches against the Brumbies.

Head to Head


The Brumbies hold a 14-8 advantage over the Rebels in their last 22 Super Rugby matches.

Last season they each won their home matches against each other. The Brumbies won 31-23 in Canberra while the Rebels won 30-12 in Melbourne in their last match.

Brumbies Form


The Brumbies have started their 2021 Super Rugby AU campaign with a bang as they look to defend their title. After the first two weeks of action, they have won both matches.

In week one, the Brumbies beat the Western Force 27-11 before smashing the Waratahs 61-10 in Canberra last week. The Canberra-based outfit has nine points from these two matches.

The Brumbies have conceded just one try in each of their two matches whilst racking up 88 points in that time. Their maul is as potent as ever which is an interesting aspect to consider in the try scoring markets.

Brumbies Injuries & Team News


Dan McKellar has been forced into a change in the front-row as James Slipper was injured in training this week. His place is taken by fellow international prop, Scott Sio.

That is the only change to the Brumbies starting side from last week. Lock Nick Frost and utility back, Isaak Fines-Leleiwasa are also both injured after coming off the bench last week.

Rebels Form


The Rebels did not feature in week one of Super Rugby AU as they had a bye. Last week they came up against the Reds and lost 23-21.

It was not a very impressive match but the Rebels stayed in touch at the Suncorp Stadium thanks to the boot of Matt Toomua. The Rebels failed to score a try, or even really threaten to do so which is something they will to improve upon this weekend.

Usually the Rebels are a strong attacking side with an international laden backline so there won't be too much concern from the coaching staff.

Rebels Injuries & Team News


The Rebels injury list has grown once again this week. Jordan Uelese was forced off last week and is out for around three weeks. Fellow front-rower, Rhys van Nek is out for a few months with a hamstring injury.

Other injured players include Dane Haylett-Petty, Cameron Orr, Isi Naisarani, Campbell Magnay , Emosi Tuqiri and Jeral Skelton.

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Verdict

The Brumbies come up against far better opponents this week and have historically struggled against the men from Melbourne. I'm backing the Rebels to finish within 14 points and perhaps cause a shock in Canberra.

Best Bet: Rebels +14 Handicap Handicap @-109.89 at BetMGM - 3 Units
Value Bet: Rebels Win Full Time Result @400.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 1 Unit

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