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Brumbies vs Reds Predictions & Tips - Brumbies set for narrow win over Reds

  • Brumbies vs Reds predictions for Saturday’s Super Rugby AU fixture
  • Match is being played at 08:45 GMT at GIO Stadium in Canberra
  • The Brumbies have won 18 of their last 19 home games
  • I am backing Folau Fainga’a to score in a narrow Brumbies win
  • Preview, predictions, stats & team news
Brumbies vs Reds
Brumbies backed to win tight encounter in Canberra (Getty Images)
Ralph Staniforth 12 Mar 2021
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Brumbies vs Reds Predictions


In a repeat of the 2020 final, this is expected to be a very tight match once again. Both sides are unbeaten but the Brumbies have won 18 of their last 19 matches at home. The best bet is a narrow Brumbies victory.

  • Brumbies have won 18 of their last 19 home matches.
  • Brumbies’ Folau Fainga’a has scored 8 tries in his last 10 matches.
  • Brumbies have scored 4 tries from mauls in their last 3 matches.
  • Reds have lost 4 of their last 5 matches against the Brumbies.

Head to Head


Brumbies have won four of their last five matches against the Reds. They last met in the 2020 Super Rugby AU final where the Brumbies won 28-23 in Canberra.

Brumbies Form


The Brumbies are unbeaten in their first three matches in 2021 Super Rugby AU. They began their campaign with a 27-11 win against the Western Force before thrashing the Waratahs 61-10.

Last week saw the Brumbies faced a tough test at home against the Rebels. The Canberra-based outfit managed to get a 27-24 win with the last kick of the game.

For large periods the Rebels were on top and looked set to hand the Brumbies a unlikely home defeat. The champions however fought back late on to snatch the match from the jaws of defeat.

Defensively the Brumbies were excellent but their discipline did let them down. Captain Allan Alaalatoa was sent from the field with a red card before the half time break. 

Brumbies Injuries & Team News


Allan Alaalatoa has been suspended for three weeks after his red card at the weekend. Tom Ross will take his place in the front-row.

In another change, try-scoring machine, Folau Fainga’a gets his first start at hooker with Lachlan Lonergan on the bench.

Reds Form


The Reds are the only other unbeaten team in Super Rugby AU after winning their opening two matches. Last week the Reds had a bye so they come into this match refreshed.

The Queensland-based outfit beat the Waratahs 41-7 in their opener before snatching a late 23-21 home win over the Rebels in their last outing.

This weekend sees a repeat of the 2020 Super Rugby AU final. A match the Brumbies won 28-23 but the Reds will have plenty of confidence coming into this one.

Reds Injuries & Team News


The Reds go into this fixture with a full strength lineup. Half-backs, Tate McDermott and James O’Connor will be key to their success but they will be reliant on the forward pack finding parity at the very least.

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Verdict

The Brumbies have won four of their last five against the Reds and 18 of their last 19 matches at home. They are backed to beat the Reds by 12 or less points.

Folau Fainga'a has proven himself to be a try scoring machine at the back of the Brumbies maul. He is tipped in the anytime and first tryscorer markets.

Best Bet: Brumbies Win Full Time Result @-142.86 at BetMGM - 4 Units
Anytime Tryscorer Tip: Folau Fainga'a Anytime Tryscorer @-125.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 2 Units
Value bet: Brumbies by 1-12 Winning Margin @150.00 at Borgata Sports - 1 Unit
First Tryscorer Tip: Folau Fainga'a First Tryscorer @650.00 at 888sport - 1 Unit

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