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Brumbies vs Western Force Predictions & Tips - Brumbies to qualify for Super Rugby AU final with comfortable win

  • Brumbies vs Western Force predictions for Saturday’s Super Rugby AU fixture
  • Match is being played at 10:45 BST at GIO Stadium in Canberra
  • The Brumbies have covered the -14 handicap against the Force in their last 4 matches
  • I am backing the Brumbies to cover the -14 handicap and qualify for the final
  • Preview, predictions, stats & team news
Brumbies vs Western Force
Brumbies set for comfortable win in Super Rugby AU playoff against Western Force (Getty Images)
Ralph Staniforth 30 Apr 2021
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Brumbies vs Western Force Predictions


The Western Force are playing some good rugby but come up against a Brumbies side who won’t be complacent in a playoff. I expect a comfortable win for the hosts so my best bet is for the Brumbies to cover the -14 handicap.

  • Brumbies have covered the -14 handicap in their last 4 matches against the Western Force.
  • Brumbies’ Folau Fainga’a has scored 4 tries in his last 6 starts.
  • Brumbies have won 19 of their last 21 home matches.
  • Brumbies have won their last 11 matches against the Western Force by an average margin of 17 points.
  • Western Force have lost by 16 and 28 points in their last 2 matches against the Brumbies.

Head to Head


The Brumbies have won their last 11 matches against the Western Force. Their last match ended 42-14 in favour of the Brumbies in round six of the 2021 Super Rugby AU competition. 

Brumbies Form


The Brumbies finished second on the Super Rugby AU table with 29 points, four behind the Reds at the top. The only two defeats the Brumbies suffered this season were against the Reds.

Over the course of the season the Brumbies have not reached the levels they were at last season but should still have enough to qualify for the final. They have already beaten the Western Force comfortably twice this season.

The Canberra-based outfit will want to regain some form ahead of the final though. They struggled to a 24-22 win over a weak Waratahs outfit in round seven before losing 24-22 to the Reds the following week.

In their last match the Brumbies beat the Rebels 26-20 at home. It was their 19th win in their last 21 home fixtures.

Brumbies Injuries & Team News


The Brumbies had a bye last week which certainly benefits them coming into this match.

Internatioanls James Slipper, Nic White, Pete Samu and Irae Simone all return to the side this weekend.

Western Force Form


The Western Force have made the playoffs against all odds this season. They never looked like getting close until some very impressive displays in recent weeks.

By round eight of the tournament the Force still only had one win but then beat the Rebels 16-15 in Melbourne with a last minute converted try. That was followed by another last minute win, this time 31-30 against the Waratahs via a penalty after the hooter had gone.

Qualification still looked improbable going into the final match where the Rebels had to face the Reds who had won seven from seven. The Reds raced into a 14-point lead early on but a spirited comeback along with a Jordan Olowofela hat-trick secured a huge win for the Western Force.

Western Force Injuries & Team News


The Western Force suffered a huge blow with Tevita Kuridrani receiving a retrospective red card after his tackle last week. He will now miss the clash which sees Richard Kahui move into outside centire.

High profile signing, Rob Kearney has been out since March and won't be fit either. That sees young Jake Strachan make his debut at fullback.

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Verdict

The Brumbies have covered the -14 handicap in their last four matches against the Western Force. I am backing the men from Canberra to do it once again. Folau Fainga'a offers superb value to be the first tryscorer in the match.

Best Bet: Brumbies -14 Handicap Handicap @-107.53 at BetMGM - 4 Units
First Brumbies Tryscorer Tip: Folau Fainga'a First Tryscorer @600.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 1 Unit

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