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Rebels vs Blues Predictions & Tips - Rebels backed in handicap market

  • Rebels vs Blues predictions for Saturday’s Super Rugby fixture
  • Match is being played at 10:45 BST at AAMI Park
  • The Rebels have lost their last 3 home fixtures
  • I am tipping the Rebels to lose by less than 16 points
  • Preview, predictions, stats & team news
Blues vs Rebels
Rebels backed to lose by less than 16 points (Getty Images)
Ralph Staniforth 14 May 2021
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Rebels vs Blues Predictions


The Blues have not arrived in Australia in the best form with three defeats in their last four matches. That said, the Rebels have lost their last three on home soil. The Blues should have enough to win but the Rebels are backed to finish within 16 points of the visitors.

  • Rebels have lost their last 3 home matches.
  • Blues have lost 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • Blues have failed to cover the -16 handicap in 7 of their last 8 matches.

Head to Head


The Blues lead the Rebels 4-3 in their seven previous meetings. The Rebels won their last encounter 20-10 against the Blues in 2018.

Rebels Form


The Rebels finished Super Rugby AU in a disappointing fourth position as they were beaten to the final playoff spot by the Western Force. The Melbourne-based outfit did manage to win their last match 34-25 against the Waratahs.

Their campaign was plagued by poor attacking displays, something that will need to be sorted out over the next couple of weeks. The Rebels only managed to score 178 points in their eight matches, of which they won three. Defensively the Rebels were really strong but their inability to put points on the board cost them.

It was meant to be a season of progress for the Rebels after impressing in 2020 despite not playing any home matches. 

Rebels Injuries & Team News


Dave Wessels has stepped down as head coach which sees Kevin Foote take over at the Rebels.

Micheal Icely will make his Rebels debut in the loose trio on Saturday while Lachie Anderson comes in at wing after recovering from injury.

Blues Form


Much like the Rebels, the Blues have not performed up to the expected standard in 2021. The Blues were the Crusaders closest challengers during 2020 but they were way off the pace in this season.

The Blues finished third on the Super Rugby Aotearoa table, level on points with the Chiefs but failed to make the final because they had less wins than the Chiefs.

In their last match the Blues beat the Chiefs 39-19 but the Chiefs rested their entire first team. Prior to that the Blues had lost two successive matches to the Highlanders and the Crusaders, both away from home.

Blues Injuries & Team News


The Blues have made three changes to their starting lineup. TJ Faiane, Josh Goodhue and Marcel Renata all start.

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Verdict

The Rebels have been defensively strong this entire season so should be able to contain the Blues. I'm tipping the Rebels to lose by less than 16 points at home.

Best Bet: Rebels +16 Handicap Handicap @-111.11 at BetMGM - 4 Units

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