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Cardiff vs Ospreys Predictions & Tips - Tight contest expected in URC derby

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: 31 Dec 2024
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Ralph Staniforth 31 Dec 2024
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  • Cardiff is having a strong season; currently third in the URC table.
  • Ospreys are well-rested from a longer break but have won only 2 of their last 3 matches.
  • Expect a close match, with predictions suggesting a margin less than six points.
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Ospreys rugby
Ospreys can get close in Welsh Derby (Getty Images)

Cardiff vs Ospreys Predictions


Cardiff are having a very strong season at the moment and are certainly favourites. What will play in the Ospreys’ favour is their much longer rest period ahead of this fixture. I am backing this to be a very tight contest with a margin less than six points.
  • Cardiff vs Ospreys Predictions
  • Head to Head
  • Cardiff Form
  • Cardiff Injuries & Team News
  • Ospreys Form
  • Ospreys Injuries & Team News

  • Cardiff have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Cardiff have won their last 3 URC matches.
  • Cardiff won their last match against the Ospreys.
  • Ospreys have had a 10-day break ahead of this game.
  • Ospreys have won 2 of their last 3 matches.
  • Ospreys have lost their last 5 away matches.

Head to Head


Ospreys won their last match against Cardiff 33-29 away from home. That fixture took place in June 2024.

Cardiff Form


Cardiff have had a superb first half of the URC and are currently placed third on the table. They were not expected to be anywhere near the top of the table, so this has been a surprise.

The Blues have won their last three URC games and four of their last five overall. Their only defeat in that run came at Lyon in the Challenge Cup.

Last week, Cardiff beat the Dragons 24-22 away from home in a Welsh derby. They will hope for a repeat result on New Years Day in front of their home fans.

Cardiff Injuries & Team News


Cardiff played on Boxing Day which means they have far less rest period ahead of this clash. I’d be surprised if there aren’t a number of rotations to the side.

Ospreys Form


Ospreys come into his game in need of a boost and there is no better way than to win a derby. They are currently 14th on the URC table with three victories from their eight games. 

Last time out the Ospreys managed a crucial 23-22 home win over the Scarlets. In what was a very tight contest from the opening minute, the hosts got over the line thanks to their superior set piece.

Prior to that, the Ospreys were thrashed at Montpellier 59-15 in the Challenge Cup after beating the Lions at home the week before.

Ospreys Injuries & Team News


Ospreys have not played since 21 December so they should be fresh and ready to go with a full-strength side.

Verdict

I am backing Ospreys to get within the six-point handicap.

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