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Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti Live Stream & Betting Tips - De Minaur Backed to Win in Madrid

John Eastwood

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Last updated: 30 Apr 2025

John Eastwood 30 Apr 2025

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Musetti recently beat De Minaur in Monte-Carlo
I am backing the Australian to turn the tide in Madrid
Watch Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti live

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Watch Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti in Madrid (Getty)

Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti Preview

Lorenzo Musetti beat Alex de Minaur in Monte-Carlo, a match that could have gone either way. I think the Australian is well placed to turn the tables in Madrid.

Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti Preview
HTH
Alex de Minaur Stats
Alex de Minaur Form
Lorenzo Musetti Stats
Lorenzo Musetti Form

HTH

Year	Event	Surface	Round	Winner	Score
2025	Monte Carlo Masters	Clay	SF	Musetti	1-6 6-4 7-6
2024	Queen's Club	Grass	R32	Musetti	1-6 6-4 6-2
2022	Australian Open	Hard	R128	De Minaur	3-6 6-3 6-0 6-3

Alex de Minaur Stats

Nationality: Australia

Age: 26 (17 February 1999)

Height: 6'0" (1.83m)

Plays: Right-Handed

World Ranking: 7

Career High: 6 (July 2024)

ATP Tour Titles: 9

2025 ATP Tour Titles: 0

Grand Slam Singles Titles: 0

Madrid Open Best Result: Third Round (2021, 2023)

Alex de Minaur Form

Alex de Minaur is 24-8 this year, beginning with a quarter-final exit to Jannik Sinner at the Australian Open. He reached the final in Rotterdam, losing in 3 sets against Carlos Alcaraz.

The World No.10 failed to convert a match point against Andrey Rublev in the Qatar Open quarter-finals. He couldn't reach the quarters in Dubai, Indian Wells and Miami.

The Australian overcame a slow start in Monte-Carlo, beating Daniil Medvedev and Grigor Dimitrov before a 1-6 6-4 7-6 semi-final defeat to Lorenzo Musetti. He ran into Carlos Alcaraz in Barcelona, losing 7-5 6-3 in the quarter-finals.

De Minaur has been near his best in Barcelona, defeating Lorenzo Sonego 6-2 6-3 and Denis Shapovalov 6-3 7-6, his serve broken once.

Lorenzo Musetti Stats

Nationality: Italy

Age: 23 (3 March 2002)

Height: 6'1" (1.85m)

Plays: Right-Handed

World Ranking: 11

Career High: 11 (April 2025)

ATP Tour Titles: 2

2025 ATP Tour Titles: 0

Grand Slam Titles: 0

Madrid Open Best Result: Third Round (2022)

Lorenzo Musetti Form

Lorenzo Musetti is 14-5 this year, reaching the quarter-finals in Hong Kong and Buenos Aires. He took a month off to deal with a leg injury, ending the hard court swing in Miami where he suffered a fourth round defeat to Novak Djokovic.

The 23-year-old showed sharp improvement on clay in Monte-Carlo, thrashing Matteo Berrettini before coming back to beat Stefanos Tsitsipas and Alex de Minaur. He won the first set against Carlos Alcaraz in the final, fading sharply in a 3-6 6-1 6-0 defeat.

The Italian has maintained his form in Madrid, beating Tomas Martin Etcheverry 7-6 6-2 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-5 7-6.

Verdict

Alex De Minaur v Lorenzo Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti beat Alex de Minaur in a tight match in Monte-Carlo and another close contest is expected in Madrid. The Australian can turn the tables and reach the quarter-finals.

Alex de Minaur Win

Winner

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Alex de Minaur Win 2-1

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