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Cameron Norrie vs Gabriel Diallo Live Stream & Preview - Norrie to leverage experience against Diallo in Madrid

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Last updated: 28 Apr 2025
Freetips staff 28 Apr 2025
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  • Norrie faces performance issues but is favored due to his experience.
  • This match marks the first meeting between Norrie and Gabriel Diallo.
  • Diallo, a lucky loser, is having his best Masters run, pushing for the top-70 debut.
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cameron norrie
Cameron Norrie has the edge against Gabriel Diallo (credit: Getty)

Cameron Norrie vs Gabriel Diallo Preview

Cameron Norrie is going through a tough patch and doesn't seem to have the confidence and belief that once made him a top-10 player. He looks very vulnerable and easy to beat right now. 

However, given his considerable experience at Masters tournaments and on clay, along with his ability to grind out results, particularly against less experienced players, he remains the favourite to win in this matchup.
  • Cameron Norrie vs Gabriel Diallo Preview
  • Head-to-Head
  • Cameron Norrie Overview
  • Cameron Norrie Form
  • Gabriel Diallo Overview
  • Gabriel Diallo Form

Head-to-Head

This will be the pair's first meeting.

Cameron Norrie Overview

  • Current rank: 91
  • Career-high rank: 8
  • ELO rank: 70
  • Season record: 11-11
  • Season record on clay: 4-2
  • Best Madrid result: R16 in 2022
  • Form against non-top-50 players on clay: 11-5 since 2024

Cameron Norrie Form

Cameron Norrie wasted a set and a break lead, eventually suffering a crushing three-set loss to Karen Khachanov in the first round of the ATP Barcelona event a few days ago.

To bounce back from that disappointment, he has won both of his matches at the Madrid Masters, coming from a set down in both, first against the inexperienced Martin Lancaluce and then against an unfit Jiri Lehecka.

Norrie arrived in Madrid without a main-draw win in over a month, but thanks to this timely run, his spot inside the top 100 in the ATP rankings is secure for now. 

He heads into Monday's clash with a 1-2 record in the third round at the Madrid Masters. He has reached this stage in all three of his previous visits but only advanced further once, during his debut in 2022.

This will be his second third-round appearance at the Masters level in 2025. He previously reached the third round in Indian Wells, where he also came from a set down to beat Jiri Lehecka in the second round but couldn’t get past Tommy Paul in the round of 16.

Gabriel Diallo Overview

  • Current rank: 78
  • Career-high rank: 78
  • ELO rank: 85
  • Season record: 16-13
  • Season record on clay: 5-4
  • Form against lower-ranked players: 8-4 in 2025

Gabriel Diallo Form

Gabriel Diallo made his debut at the Madrid Masters as a lucky loser, and he’s already made a splash by defeating Zizou Bergs and Kamil Majchrzak to secure a spot in the third round.

This marks his best-ever result at the Masters level, as his previous best was reaching the second round three times, including twice this week in Indian Wells and Miami. 

In both of those events, he also entered the main draw as a lucky loser, which highlights the fortunate streak he’s enjoyed at Masters events this year.

Thanks to this run of good luck at the Masters, Diallo recently reached a career-high ranking of #78, and with the kind of fortune he's had in Madrid, a top-70 debut is now within reach.

In fact, this is his best-ever performance on clay, a surface where he hasn’t played much tennis. 

He’s only competed in 26 matches on clay in his career and had never previously won back-to-back matches in the main draw of tour-level events on the surface.

Verdict

Cameron Norrie is struggling with confidence and looks vulnerable at the moment. However, his vast Masters and clay experience, plus his knack for grinding out wins, especially against less experienced players, makes him the favourite in this matchup.

Best Bet1: Cameron Norrie Match Winner @5/6 at Betgoodwin - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Over 4.5 Total Breaks @34/33 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Cameron Norrie
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Cameron Norrie v Gabriel Diallo