Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips - Sabalenka to Win Third Straight Australian Open
- Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys Predictions & Betting Tips
- Sabalenka has won her last 20 matches at the Australian Open
- The World No.1 is backed to win a third straight title in Melbourne
Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys Preview
Aryna Sabalenka is 11-0 this year and won three straight against Madison Keys. The World No.1 is a deserved favourite here and backed to win a third consecutive Australian Open title.
- Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys Preview
- Stats
- HTH
- Aryna Sabalenka Stats
- Aryna Sabalenka Form
- Madison Keys Stats
- Madison Keys Form
Stats
- Aryna Sabalenka has won 33 of her last 36 matches.
- Aryna Sabalenka has won her last 20 matches at the Australian Open.
- Aryna Sabalenka has won her last 3 matches against Madison Keys.
- Madison Keys is 4-15 against Top 3 players.
HTH
Aryna Sabalenka is 4-1 against Madison Keys.
Their previous meeting came at the 2024 China Open, Sabalenka winning 6-4 6-3 in the Round of 16.
Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score | Loser |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
25‑Sep‑2024 | Beijing | Hard | R16 | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-3 | Madison Keys |
28‑Aug‑2023 | US Open | Hard | SF | Aryna Sabalenka | 0-6 7-6 7-6 | Madison Keys |
3‑Jul‑2023 | Wimbledon | Grass | QF | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 6-4 | Madison Keys |
14‑Jun‑2021 | Berlin | Grass | R16 | Madison Keys | 6-4 1-6 7-5 | Aryna Sabalenka |
13‑Aug‑2018 | Cincinnati | Hard | QF | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-4 | Madison Keys |
Aryna Sabalenka Stats
Nationality: Belarus
Age: 26 (5 May 1998)
Height: 5'11" (1.82m)
Plays: Right-Handed
World Ranking: 1
Career High: 1 (September 2023)
WTA Tour Titles: 18
2025 WTA Tour Titles: 1
Grand Slam Singles Titles: 3 (2023, 2024 Australian Open, 2024 US Open)
Australian Open Best Result: Winner (2023, 2024)
Aryna Sabalenka Form
Aryna Sabalenka won her second Australian Open last year and claimed titles at the Cincinnati Open, US Open and Wuhan Open.
The World No.1 started 2025 by winning the Brisbane International. She won her opening four matches in straight sets before coming back to beat Polina Kudermetova 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the final.
The Belarusian got through her first four matches at the Australian Open in straight sets, easing past Sloane Stephens, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro, Clara Tauson and Mirra Andreeva.
Sabalenka broke the trend in the quarter-finals where she outlasted Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-2 2-6 6-3. She was back to her best in the semi-finals, overpowering Paula Badosa 6-4 6-2 after hitting 32 winners and 21 unforced errors.
Madison Keys Stats
Nationality: United States
Age: 29 (17 February 1995)
Height: 5'10" (1.78m)
Plays: Right-Handed
World Ranking: 14
Career High: 7 (October 2016)
WTA Tour Titles: 9
2025 WTA Tour Titles: 1
Grand Slam Singles Titles: 0
Australian Open Best Result: Semi-Finals (2015, 2022)
Madison Keys Form
Madison Keys reached the Madrid Open semi-finals last year before winning the title in Strasbourg. She began 2025 in Auckland where she suffered a quarter-final defeat to Clara Tauson.
The World No.14 bounced back to win the Adelaide International, knocking out three Top 20 players on her way to the final where she beat Jessica Pegula in 3 sets.
The American beat Ann Li 6-4 7-5 at the Australian Open before defeating Elena Gabriela Ruse in 3 sets. She took out 10th seed Danielle Collins 6-4 6-4 and eliminated World No.7 Elena Rybakina 6-3 1-6 6-3.
Keys came through another tough test in the quarter-finals, coming from behind to beat Elina Svitolina 3-6 6-3 6-4. She repeated the feat in the semi-finals, saving one match point in a 5-7 6-1 7-6 victory over Iga Swiatek.
Verdict
Aryna Sabalenka is the clear World No.1 and on target for a third straight Australian Open title. Madison Keys has done well to reach the final, but Sabalenka should be too good in Melbourne.
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