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Fabio Fognini vs Rafael Nadal Live Stream, Predictions & Tips - Fognini could be Nadal’s first challenge

  • Fabio Fognini vs Rafael Nadal preview and predictions for Monday’s Australian Open match.
  • The Round of 16 clash will be played at Melbourne Park at 04.00 GMT
  • Rafael Nadal’s Australian Open matches so far have all been over in 32 games or less
  • I predict Nadal to be stretched more than he has been so far
  • Match preview, predictions and live stream information.
Rafael Nadal
Rafael Nadal has yet to drop a set at the Australian Open (Getty Images)
Hannah Wilks 14 Feb 2021
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Fabio Fognini vs Rafael Nadal Predictions

One of Fabio Fognini’s main claims to fame is being the only man to come back from two sets to love down to beat Nadal at a Grand Slam.

Nadal has not been meaningfully tested at the Australian Open so far and Fognini could provide something of a test. However, the Spaniard has been able to play his way into the tournament. 

  • Fabio Fognini has won two of his three Australian Open matches by 7 games or more
  • 4 of the 7 matches Fabio Fognini has played against Rafael Nadal on hard courts have been won by 5 games or fewer
  • Rafael Nadal has converted at least 5 break points in all 3 of his Australian Open matches so far
  • 3 of the 7 matches Rafael Nadal has played against Fabio Fognini on hard courts have gone the distance

Head to Head

Rafael Nadal leads the head-to-head with Fabio Fognini 12-4.

On hard courts Nadal leads the head-to-head 6-1. Fognini has not beaten Nadal on hard courts since 2015.

Fabio Fognini Stats

Nationality: Italy
Age: 33 (24 May 1987)
Height: 5’10” (187cm)
Plays: Right-Handed
World Ranking: 17
Career High: 9 (July 2019)
Career ATP Singles Titles: 9
Career Grand Slam Singles Titles: 0
2021 Titles: 0
Australian Open Best Result: R16 (2014, 2018, 2020)

Fabio Fognini Form

Fognini, an injury-prone player, underwent multiple ankle surgeries in 2020, a season during which he played just 15 matches.

The Italian did not look impressive in the run-up to the Australian Open. Nor did his wins over Pierre-Hugues Herbert in straights and Salvatore Caruso in a five-set thriller which ended in a tie-break.

What did impress from Fognini was his 6-4, 6-3, 6-4 demolition of Alex de Minaur in the third round.

Fognini was broken when serving for the match and got tight at the end of the third set. Otherwise he was nearly flawless, although de Minaur also lacks the outright weapons to disrupt him.

Rafael Nadal Stats

Nationality: Spain
Age: 34 (3 June 1986)
Height: 6’1” (185cm)
Plays: Left-handed
World Ranking: 2
Career High: 1 (August 2008)
Career ATP Singles Titles: 86
Career Grand Slam Singles Titles: 20 (13 French Open, 4 US Open, 2 Wimbledon, 1 Australian Open)
2021 Titles: 0
Australian Open Best Result: Champion (2009)

Rafael Nadal Form

Nadal pulled out of the ATP Cup, where he was supposed to lead Spain, and struggled to practice due to a lower back injury. But three straightforward matches at the Australian Open so far have enabled him to play his way into the tournament.

The world no. 2 has said he is now able to serve normally after three matches. He beat Laslo Djere and Michael Mmoh conceding seven and eight games respectively. 

Cameron Norrie pushed Nadal slightly harder in the third round but Nadal still won 7-5, 6-2, 7-5. 

Live Stream

Rafael Nadal and Fabio Fognini meet in the Round of 16 at the Australian Open on Monday 15 February (scheduled for 4am GMT).

Watch the tennis action live at bet365 > tennis > Australian Open, with matches available to members online and on mobile.

To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Any fixture/event on the website which has the Play or Video icon next to it is scheduled to be shown via Live Streaming. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Fabio Fognini vs Rafael Nadal FAQs

Where can I watch a Fabio Fognini vs Rafael Nadal live stream?

Our live streaming calendar shows you where to watch the Fabio Fognini vs Rafael Nadal live stream.

What round of the Australian Open is Fabio Fognini vs Rafael Nadal?

Fabio Fognini vs Rafael Nadal are meeting in the fourth round of the Australian Open.



Rafael Nadal is rightly favoured to be the winner and improve to 15-4 vs Fognini. 

But the majority of their hard-court matches have been relatively lengthy and close, and this encounter should continue the trend.

Best Bet: Over 3.5 Total Sets @-120.48 at BetMGM - 3 Units
Value Bet: Over 38.5 Total Games @120.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 1 Unit

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