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Garbine Muguruza vs Naomi Osaka Predictions & Tips - Muguruza to upset Osaka at the Australian Open

  • Garbine Muguruza vs Naomi Osaka predictions for Sunday’s Australian Open match
  • The fourth round clash is being played in Melbourne Park
  • Garbine Muguruza has won 7 of her last 8 matches
  • I am backing Muguruza to beat Osaka who won 48% of her 2nd serves in the 3rd round
  • Preview, stats, predictions and live stream information
Garbine Muguruza
Garbine Muguruza takes on Naomi Osaka at the Australian Open (Getty Images)
Mat Marshall 12 Feb 2021
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Garbine Muguruza vs Naomi Osaka Predictions


Garbine Muguruza and Naomi Osaka are evenly matched. The value is on the underdog in the Australian Open fourth round with an upset on the cards.

  • Garbine Muguruza has won in straight sets in 7 of her last 8 matches.
  • Garbine Muguruza has allowed 6 break points in her last 3 matches.
  • Garbine Muguruza reached the 2020 Australian Open final.
  • Naomi Osaka has won her last 18 matches.
  • Naomi Osaka has won in straight sets in 5 of her last 6 matches.
  • Naomi Osaka has allowed 6 break points in her last 3 matches.
  • Naomi Osaka won the 2019 Australian Open.

Head to Head


This will be the first match between Garbine Muguruza and Naomi Osaka.

Garbine Muguruza Stats


Nationality: Spain
Age: 27 (8 October 1993)
Height: 6'0" (182cm)
Plays: Right-Handed
World Ranking: 14
Career High: 1 (September 2017)
Career WTA Singles Titles: 7
2021 Titles: 0
Career Grand Slam Singles Titles: 2 (2016 French Open, 2017 Wimbledon)
Australian Open Best Result: Final (2020)

Garbine Muguruza Form


Garbine Muguruza competed at the Abu Dhabi WTA Women's Tennis Open in January. The former World No.1 beat Kristina Mladenovic and Aliaksandra Sasnovich in straight sets before going down to Maria Sakkari in the third round.

The Spaniard played some great tennis at the Yarra Valley Classic. She beat Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, Sofia Kenin and Marketa Vondrousova in straight sets before a 6-7 4-6 defeat to World No. 1 Ashleigh Barty in the final.

Garbine Muguruza beat Margarita Gasparyan 6-4 6-0 in the Australian Open first round, winning 71% of her 2nd serves and allowing one break point.

Muguruza beat Liudmila Samsonova 6-3 6-1 in the second round. It was another easy win, failing to allow a break point and winning 79% of her 1st serves.

The 14th seed crushed Zarina Diyas 6-1 6-1 in the third round. Muguruza saved all five break points, winning 61% of her 2nd serves in 56 minutes.

Naomi Osaka Stats


Nationality: Japan
Age: 23 (16 October 1997)
Height: 5’11” (1.80m)
Plays: Right-Handed
World Ranking: 3
Career High: 1 (January 2019)
Career WTA Singles Titles: 6
2021 Titles: 0
Career Grand Slam Singles Titles: 3 (2 US Open, 1 Australian Open)
Australian Open Best Result: Champion (2019)

Naomi Osaka Form


Naomi Osaka won the 2019 Australian Open and won her third Grand Slam title at the US Open last September. The World No. 3 didn’t compete for the rest of the year, returning to action at the Gippsland Trophy in Melbourne.

Osaka beat Alizé Cornet, Katie Boulter and Irina-Camelia Begu before pulling out of the semi-final against Elise Mertens citing shoulder problems.

The 3rd seed beat three-time quarterfinalist Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-1 6-2 in the first round and former World No. 4 Caroline Garcia 6-2 6-3 in the second round. Osaka allowed two break points across both matches.

Naomi Osaka beat Ons Jabeur 6-3 6-2 in the third round. She saved six of seven break points, triumphing despite winning 48% of her second serves.

Live Stream


Garbine Muguruza and Naomi Osaka meet in the fourth round of the Australian Open on Sunday (scheduled start TBC).

Watch the tennis action live at bet365 > tennis > Australian Open, with matches available to members online and on mobile.

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US

Verdict

Garbine Muguruza beat Sofia Kenin at the Yarra Valley Classic and pushed Ashleigh Barty all the way in the final. She can upset Naomi Osaka at the Australian Open.

Best Bet: Over 21.5 Total Games @-104.17 at BetMGM - 3 Units
Value Bet: Garbine Muguruza Winner @150.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 2 Units

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