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Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Rafael Nadal Live Stream, Predictions & Tips - Tsitsipas faces Nadal challenge in quarterfinals

  • Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Rafael Nadal preview and predictions for Wednesday’s Australian Open match.
  • The quarterfinal clash will be played at Melbourne Park (8.30 GMT)
  • 2 of Tsitsipas’s last 3 matches vs top-10 players at Grand Slams have gone past 46 games
  • I predict Nadal to face his first serious test of the Australian Open
  • Match preview, predictions and live stream information.
Stefanos Tsitsipas Rafael Nadal
Rafael Nadal leads the head-to-head vs Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-1 (Getty Images)
Hannah Wilks 16 Feb 2021
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Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Rafael Nadal Predictions


Rafael Nadal beat Stefanos Tsitsipas easily in the Greek’s first Grand Slam semifinal two years ago. Since then, Tsitsipas has scored his first win over Nadal, but the record is still solidly in Nadal’s favour.

Despite coming in with a back injury, Nadal has been able to play his way into the tournament and crushed Fabio Fognini in the fourth round. Tsitsipas received a walkover into the quarterfinals - will he be able to convert that physical advantage into victory against Nadal?

  • 3 of the last 4 matches Stefanos Tsitsipas has played against Rafael Nadal have gone past straight sets
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 1-4 record vs top-10 players at Grand Slams
  • Rafael Nadal has won his last 4 Australian Open matches in under 32 games
  • Rafael Nadal has increased his percentage of second-serve points won in each round (Australian Open)

Head to Head


Rafael Nadal leads 6-1 in the head-to-head with Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Tsitsipas’s solitary victory came at the Madrid Masters in 2019. Nadal is 14-4 in sets against Tsitsipas, although Tsitsipas won at least one set in three of their last four matches.

Stefanos Tsitsipas Stats


Nationality: Greece
Age: 22 (12 August 1998)
Height: 6’4” (193cm)
Plays: Right-Handed
World Ranking: 6
Career High: 5 (August 2019)
Career ATP Singles Titles: 5
Career Grand Slam Singles Titles: 0
2021 Titles: 0
Australian Open Best Result: SF (2019)

Stefanos Tsitsipas Form


Tsitsipas was taken to five sets in the second round by Thanasi Kokkinakis but restored order with a 6-4, 6-1, 6-1 victory over Mikael Ymer. He received an unexpected walkover against Matteo Berrettini.

Berrettini withdrew as the result of an abdominal injury, which certainly gives Tsitsipas a physical advantage coming into the match against Nadal. 

However, a withdrawal often upsets a player’s rhythm in a way they find it difficult to recover from. This contributed to Tsitsipas’s defeat to Milos Raonic at last year’s Australian Open.

Tsitsipas has not beaten a top-10 player at a Grand Slam since defeating Roger Federer during his breakthrough run to the 2019 Australian Open semifinals. He pushed Novak Djokovic to five sets at the French Open in an impressive display.

Rafael Nadal Stats


Nationality: Spain
Age: 34 (3 June 1986)
Height: 6’1” (185cm)
Plays: Left-handed
World Ranking: 2
Career High: 1 (August 2008)
Career ATP Singles Titles: 86
Career Grand Slam Singles Titles: 20 (13 French Open, 4 US Open, 2 Wimbledon, 1 Australian Open)
2021 Titles: 0
Australian Open Best Result: Champion (2009)

Rafael Nadal Form


After pulling out of ATP Cup due to a back injury and coming through his first two Australian Open matches with a modified service motion, Nadal has subsequently been able to serve normally.

The World No. 2 had his toughest match of the tournament against fellow left-hander Cameron Norrie, with two sets going to 7-5 but he has still not dropped a set. 

In the round of 16, Nadal beat Fabio Fognini 6-3, 6-4, 6-2, allowing the Italian little room to display his shotmaking abilities.

Nadal has steadily been winning a higher percentage of second-serve points throughout the Australian Open, a sure sign of growing confidence. He won 69% against both Norrie and Fognini. 

Nadal has a 34-8 record in Grand Slam quarterfinals to Tsitsipas’s 2-0. 

Live Stream


Rafael Nadal and Stefanos Tsitsipas meet in the quarterfinals of the Australian Open on Wednesday 17 February.

Watch the tennis action live at bet365 > tennis > Australian Open, with matches available to members online and on mobile.

To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Any fixture/event on the website which has the Play or Video icon next to it is scheduled to be shown via Live Streaming. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Rafael Nadal FAQs

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What round of the Australian Open is Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Rafael Nadal?

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Rafael Nadal are meeting in the quarterfinals of the Australian Open.

US

Verdict

Given that Tsitsipas has won at least one set against Nadal in three of their last four matches, it seems sensible to back this one to go 4+ sets.

Two of Tsitsipas’s last three Grand Slam matches vs top-10 players have gone over 43.5 games.

Best Bet: Over 3.5 Sets Total Sets @-185.19 at BetMGM - 3 Units
Value Bet: Over 43.5 Total Games @150.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 1 Unit

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