Karen Khachanov vs Cameron Norrie Live Stream & Preview - Khachanov's fitness issues give Norrie a shot at Barcelona upset

Freetips staff

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Last updated: 15 Apr 2025

Freetips staff 15 Apr 2025

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Khachanov is the favorite, but fitness issues create uncertainty.
Norrie could capitalize if he maintains a solid level of play.
Match offers strategic opportunities in betting markets paying on retirements.

Expired

Cameron Norrie predicted to cause an upset (credit: Getty)

Karen Khachanov vs Cameron Norrie Preview

While Karen Khachanov has clearly been the stronger performer this year and rightfully comes in as the favourite, the fitness concerns that popped up last week leave some question marks around his current condition. That opens the door for Cameron Norrie to potentially pull off an upset if he can put together a solid level of play.

Norrie has been pretty unreliable lately, no doubt about that. But in this case, I’m leaning on Khachanov’s questionable fitness and backing Norrie at a book that pays out on retirement.

Karen Khachanov vs Cameron Norrie Preview
Head-to-Head
Karen Khachanov Overview
Karen Khachanov Form
Cameron Norrie Overview
Cameron Norrie Form

Head-to-Head

Year	Event	Surface	Round	Winner	Score
2024	Monte Carlo	Clay	R1	Khachanov	7-5 7-6
2022	French Open	Clay	R3	Khachanov	6-2 7-5 5-7 6-4
2022	Rotterdam	Hard	R16	Norrie	6-4 7-6
2021	Toronto	Hard	R1	Khachanov	6-4 5-7 6-4
2021	Lyon	Clay	SF	Norrie	6-1 6-1
2021	Barcelona	Clay	R2	Norrie	6-4 3-6 6-3
2021	Rotterdam	Hard	R16	Khachanov	6-2 6-2

Karen Khachanov Overview

Current rank: 27
Career-high rank: 8
ELO rank: 33
Season record: 5-8
Season record on clay: 0-1
Barcelona best result: QF in 2017

Karen Khachanov Form

Karen Khachanov’s 2025 season has followed a familiar pattern of getting drawn into long, tough matches, often coming out on the losing end. That trend carried into the clay swing as well.

He kicked off his clay court campaign at the Monte Carlo Masters last week, where he battled fellow Russian Daniil Medvedev for nearly three hours before falling in three sets.

Khachanov appeared to struggle physically during that match and ended up withdrawing from his doubles match later in the week. That raised some questions about his fitness heading into Barcelona.

How well he has recovered from that physical setback in Monte Carlo will likely play a big role in shaping his chances in Barcelona this week.

He is no stranger to this tournament, having made his debut here back in 2016. Since then, he has returned six times, with his best showing being a quarterfinal run in 2017.

Cameron Norrie Overview

Current rank: 88
Career-high rank: 8
ELO rank: 72
Season record: 9-10
Season record on clay: 2-1
Barcelona best result: QF in 2024, 2022, 2021

Cameron Norrie Form

Cameron Norrie has already kicked off his Barcelona campaign by coming through the qualifying rounds, picking up wins over Hugo Gaston and Damir Dzumhur. Those victories ended his three-match losing streak on tour.

Once a top-10 player, Norrie captured a Masters title in Indian Wells and made it to the semifinals at Wimbledon.

But a sudden and sustained dip in form and confidence has led to a rough stretch of results and a significant slide in the rankings. He is now hovering dangerously close to falling outside the top 100.

He is in serious need of a big result to rebuild his self-belief and get his career back on track, and Barcelona might just be the right place for it.

The Brit has enjoyed some success here in the past, reaching the quarterfinals in three of his last four appearances, including the most recent edition in 2024, where he defeated Harold Mayot and Roberto Bautista Agut along the way.

Verdict

Karen Khachanov v Cameron Norrie

Khachanov is the favourite with better performance level this year, but his recent fitness issues raise doubts. This gives Norrie a real chance to cause an upset, provided he performs well.

Norrie’s form has been inconsistent, but with Khachanov’s fitness uncertain. I’m backing Norrie, especially in markets paying out on retirement.

Cameron Norrie

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