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Rafael Nadal vs Daniil Medvedev Betting Tips - Nadal set to defend ATP Canadian Open title

Defending and four-time champion faces his biggest challenge yet in Montreal against the consistent Russian
rafael nadal
Rafael Nadal has a fine record at the Canadian Open is is favourite to win a fifth title (Getty Images)

Rafael Nadal vs Daniil Medvedev Preview, Prediction, Betting Tips & Live Stream


Rafael Nadal aims to defend his title when he takes on the in-form Daniil Medvedev in the final of the 2019 ATP Canadian Open on Sunday. The top seed has won this tournament four times and is the favourite to win a fifth, with bookmakers pricing Nadal at 1.40 to beat Medvedev. This is our preview of the final - looking at both players' form, how to watch it live, and our bet of the day.

2019 ATP Canadian Open Rafael Nadal Form


Nationality: Spain
Age: 33 (03/06/1966)
World Ranking: 2
Career Titles: 82
2019 Titles: 2
Canadian Open Best Result: Champion (2005, 2008, 2013, 2018)

Rafael Nadal is a ruthless operator at the Canadian Open: the Spaniard has never lost a final at this tournament. To reach this year's title match, Nadal has not had it all his own way, but in typical Nadal style, has found a way to win. 

The top seed began in the second round with a battling win over Dan Evans, recovering from an early break down to win 7-6, 6-4. A more comfortable victory awaited in the third round when he defeated Guido Pella 6-3, 6-4. However, Fabio Fognini, who thrashed Nadal at the Monte Carlo Masters earlier this season, initially provided a sterner test before Nadal found his range to win 2-6, 6-1, 6-2. 

Nadal would have faced an entertaining clash in the semi-finals against Gael Monfils, only to be handed a walkover after the Frenchman pulled out with injury following his quarter-final win over Robert Bautista Agut, which took place just hours before the scheduled semi-final due to rain delays. 

Nadal will be prepared for his toughest assignment yet when he takes on Daniil Medvedev, and the Spaniard will be looking to dictate points from the baseline against the dependable Russian. If Nadal can control the majority of points and use his unrivalled return game to make inroads on the solid Medvedev serve, he should win this match.

2019 ATP Canadian Open Daniil Medvedev Form


Nationality: Russia
Age: 23 (11/02/1996)
World Ranking: 9
Career Titles: 4
2019 Titles: 1
Canadian Open Best Result: Third Round (2018)

Daniil Medvedev is the form player of the past two weeks, having reached his second successive final following his appearance in the Citi Washington Open title match. 

The Russian has been in ruthless form this week in Montreal, starting with his second round thrashing of Kyle Edmund, 6-3, 6-0, followed by an efficietn 6-3, 6-3 victory against Christian Garin. Medvedev then produced his performance of the week to dismantle second seed Dominic Thiem 6-3, 6-1, before taking out fellow Russian Karen Khachanov 6-1, 7-6 in the semi-finals.

Medvedev will continue to rely on the gameplan that has served him so well this week: serve well (he has won 90 percent of first serve points this week), keep errors to a minimum, and unload on his forehand. 

Of course, this is easier said than done against one of the world's greatest players, and he is sure to give up more first serve points against a great returner like Nadal. Medvedev will need to be aggressive on the Nadal serve and try to disrupt the Spaniard's game, otherwise he will not find much joy. 

Rafael Nadal vs Daniil Medvedev Head to head


  • This will be the first meeting between Rafael Nadal and Daniil Medvedev

Rafael Nadal vs Daniil Medvedev Live Stream


The 2019 ATP Canadian Open final between Rafael Nadal and Daniil Medvedev is available to watch on the bet365 live streaming service. To access the match, make sure you have a funded Sports account or placed a bet in the past 24 hours. 

Bet365 have made it easy to swtich between live sports and in-play markets, and is available through any smartpone, tablet device, or computer. To see if geo-restrictions affect your access, visit bet365 for their FAQs. 

Rafael Nadal vs Daniil Medvedev Key Stats


  • Rafael Nadal has broken his opponents' serve 10 times at the Canadian Open this week.
  • Daniil Medvedev has won 90 per cent of first serve points this week.
  • Medvedev has had his serve broken three times this week.
  • Nadal has had his serve broken five times this week.

Verdict

Rafael Nadal is a firm favourite to win this match and we are backing the Spaniard to inflict a second straight final defeat on Daniil Medvedev. It should be a competitive and entertaining match, though.

Winner: Rafael Nadal @1.40 at bet365 - 5 Units
Total Games: Over 21.5 @1.72 at bet365 - 3 Units

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16 March 2021

Post bet analysis

Rafael Nadal comfortably lived up to our win tip, but a surprising second set capitulation from Daniil Medvedev saw us fall short of our Total Games tip.
11 Aug 2019

Rafael Nadal v Daniil Medvedev

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