Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek Live Stream & Tips - Swiatek Holds the Edge in Roland-Garros Showdown with Sabalenka

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Last updated: 06 Jun 2025

Freetips staff 06 Jun 2025

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Sabalenka and Swiatek face off in Roland-Garros semifinal
Swiatek offers a commanding H2H record and Paris pedigree
Sabalenka's current form presents a fierce challenge in this mouth-watering clash

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Iga Swiatek takes on Aryna Sabalenka in a blockbuster semifinal clash (credit: Getty)

Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek Preview

Aryna Sabalenka equaled her best Roland-Garros result after taking down Zheng Qinwen in the quarterfinal. She has maintained her perfect record of not dropping a set this fortnight and reaches her 11th Grand Slam semifinal.

Iga Swiatek has reached her fifth career semifinal at Roland-Garros after surviving a stern second-set challenge from Elina Svitolina in the quarterfinals. She extended her tournament winning streak to 26 matches, the longest in the Open Era among WTA players.

Sabalenka has undoubtedly been the more successful player on tour over the past 12 months, but Swiatek remains the dominant force in Paris in recent years. I’d certainly take a punt on her at this price.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek Preview
Head-to-Head
Aryna Sabalenka Overview
Aryna Sabalenka Form
Iga Swiatek Overview
Iga Swiatek Form

Head-to-Head

Score	Leader	Last Meeting Winner
8-4	Iga Swiatek	Aryna Sabalenka at Cincinnati 2024

Aryna Sabalenka Overview

Current rank: 1
Career high rank: 1
ELO rank: 1
Season record: 39-6
Grand Slam semifinal record: 5-5 (0-4 in last four)

Aryna Sabalenka Form

Sabalenka has not dropped a set this fortnight, extending her clay record this season to a superlative 16-2.

She overcame a 2-4 deficit in the first set against Zheng Qinwen in the quarterfinals before settling into a commanding rhythm and recording a 7-6, 6-3 victory.

It was her toughest match of the tournament in terms of games lost, although she also faced some resistance from Amanda Anisimova in the fourth round.

Sabalenka has been the strongest player on tour in recent months, reaching nine finals in her last 14 tournaments, including Stuttgart and Madrid.

Her Roland-Garros history is less convincing, with a semifinal loss in 2023 to Karolina Muchova in three hours and 13 minutes being the extent of her previous ventures.

She has also lost her only Grand Slam meeting with Swiatek, which was a semifinal clash at the US Open back in 2022.

Iga Swiatek Overview

Current rank: 5
Career high rank: 1
ELO rank: 2
Season record: 32-9
Grand Slam semifinal record: 5-2 (4-0 in Paris)

Iga Swiatek Form

Swiatek is attempting to lift the Roland-Garros trophy for the fifth time in her career and had to fight her way into the semifinals.

She was two points away from dropping a set to Elina Svitolina but held firm to defeat the Ukrainian, 6-1, 7-5, in the quarterfinals and extend her tournament winning streak to 26.

Her toughest match of the campaign came against Elena Rybakina in the fourth round, narrowly ducking the Kazakh, 1-6, 6-3, 7-5, in two and a half hours.

She is on a six-match losing streak in semifinals and has not been to a final since winning 2024 Roland-Garros, which is why she has fallen as low as No. 5 in the rankings.

But without a doubt, Swiatek is a wildly impressive player on clay. She has claimed 100 career wins on clay in just 114 matches, making her the fourth-fastest player to reach this milestone in the Open Era.

Verdict

Aryna Sabalenka v Iga Swiatek

Picking a favourite in this blockbuster semi-final is nearly impossible, yet Swiatek’s near-perfect Paris record and commanding H2H edge make her a tempting play at better-than-even odds.

Iga Swiatek

Match Winner

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