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Hubert Hurkacz vs Alex de Minaur Live Stream & Preview - De Minaur's moment to seize a big win on the big stage

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Last updated: 10 Mar 2025

Freetips staff 10 Mar 2025

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Hurkacz has won against De Minaur previously, but recent fitness issues and surgery pose challenges.
Alex de Minaur is in strong form this season, ranking 10th and holding a 14-4 season record.
Head-to-head is tied, presenting an opportunity for de Minaur to secure a big win given Hurkacz's current form.

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Alex de Minaur predicted to win (credit: Getty)

Hubert Hurkacz vs Alex de Minaur Preview

Hubert Hurkacz is the more proven big-stage player and even won their previous Masters-level meeting in Madrid back in 2019. However, he has experienced fitness struggles, undergone surgery, and is still working to regain his best level.

These factors play in Alex de Minaur's favor, giving him an excellent chance to secure a high-profile victory at a major event.

Hubert Hurkacz vs Alex de Minaur Preview
Hubert Hurkacz Overview
Hubert Hurkacz Form
Alex de Minaur Overview
Alex de Minaur Form
Head-to-Head

Hubert Hurkacz Overview

Current Rank: 22
Career-High Rank: 6
ELO Rank: 15
Season Record: 7-6
Tournament Record: 11-5 (Quarterfinals in 2019 and 2021)
Recent Record vs. Top-10 Players: 2-8
Masters Record vs. Top-10 Players: 9-11

Hubert Hurkacz Form

Hubert Hurkacz returned to competitive action after nearly a month on the sidelines and immediately secured a win, defeating the inconsistent Hugo Gaston at the Indian Wells Masters.

From facing the erratic and unpredictable Gaston to taking on the relentless and reliable Alex de Minaur, Hurkacz’s challenge in the third round becomes exponentially tougher.

Although he is still on the comeback trail and far from his best level, he has performed exceptionally well against top-10 players this season, something that should give him confidence ahead of this difficult test.

All of his previous encounters with top-10 opponents this year have been highly competitive. He secured a victory against Andrey Rublev and took a set off both Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz in their matches.

Looking at his record during this part of the season, Hurkacz has had significant success in the Sunshine Double.

He won the Miami Open title and reached the quarterfinals in consecutive appearances at Indian Wells in 2019 and 2021.

Alex de Minaur Overview

Current Rank: 10
Career-High Rank: 6
ELO Rank: 12
Season Record: 14-4
Tournament Record: 9-7 (Round of 16 in 2024, 2022, and 2021)
Season Record vs. Non-Top-10 Players: 13-1

Alex de Minaur Form

Alex de Minaur suffered his first major setback of the season a few weeks ago, losing to a declining Marin Čilić in the opening round in Dubai.

However, he quickly bounced back, returning to winning ways with a comfortable victory over an out-of-form David Goffin in his Indian Wells Masters opener last week.

Statistically, de Minaur’s chances of winning matches remain high as long as he isn’t facing a top-10 opponent. Three of his four losses in 2025 have come against top-10 players, while against others, he holds an impressive 13-1 record.

After years of struggles on the biggest stages, de Minaur has finally begun to play to his full potential, delivering expected results in high-profile events. He will be looking to build on that momentum with further progress this week.

Despite making seven appearances at Indian Wells, he has yet to reach the quarterfinals. That said, he remains unbeaten in the third round here, having won all three of his previous matches at this stage.

Head-to-Head

Score	Leader	Last Meeting Winner
1-1	Tied	Hubert Hurkacz at Madrid Masters 2019

Verdict

Hubert Hurkacz v Alex De Minaur

Hubert Hurkacz has proven himself on big stages and even defeated Alex de Minaur at the Masters level in Madrid 2019. However, fitness struggles and a recent surgery have hindered his form, making this a great opportunity for de Minaur to claim a high-profile win.

Alex de Minaur

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