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Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev Live Stream & Tips - Medvedev's Class to Shine Through in Indian Wells

John Eastwood

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Last updated: 11 Mar 2025

John Eastwood 11 Mar 2025

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Watch Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev live
Medvedev has won 12 of his last 14 matches in Indian Wells
I am backing the World No.6 to win in the fourth round

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Watch Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev in Indian Wells (Getty)

Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev Preview

Daniil Medvedev has reached the last two finals in Indian Wells and Tommy Paul has lost three straight against Top 40 players. I am backing Medvedev’s serve and power to take him to victory.

Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev Preview
Stats
HTH
Tommy Paul Stats
Tommy Paul Form
Daniil Medvedev Stats
Daniil Medvedev Form

Stats

Tommy Paul has lost 8 of his last 10 matches against Top 10 players on hard courts.
Daniil Medvedev is 2-0 against Tommy Paul on hard courts.
Daniil Medvedev has won 12 of his last 14 matches in Indian Wells.

HTH

Year	Event	Surface	Round	Winner	Score	Loser
2024	Rome Masters	Clay	R16	Paul	6-1 6-4	Medvedev
2024	Indian Wells Masters	Hard	SF	Medvedev	1-6 7-6 6-2	Paul
2023	Beijing	Hard	R32	Medvedev	6-2 6-1	Paul
2021	French Open	Clay	R64	Medvedev	3-6 6-1 6-4 6-3	Paul

Tommy Paul Stats

Nationality: United States

Age: 27 (17 May 1997)

Height: 6'1" (1.85m)

Plays: Right-Handed

World Ranking: 11

Career High: 9 (January 2024)

ATP Tour Titles: 4

2025 ATP Tour Titles: 0

Grand Slam Singles Titles: 0

Indian Wells Masters Best Result: Semi-Finals (2024)

Tommy Paul Form

Tommy Paul had a consistent start to the year, reaching the semi-finals in Adelaide and Australian Open quarter-finals, losing in 4 sets to Alexander Zverev.

The American got to another semi-final in Dallas where he went down 7-5 6-3 to Denis Shapovalov. He withdrew before a second round match in Acapulco.

The 27-year-old has had a comfortable start in Indian Wells, getting past Tristan Boyer 6-3 6-1 and Cameron Norrie 6-3 7-5.

Daniil Medvedev Stats

Nationality: Russia

Age: 29 (11 February 1996)

Height: 6'6" (1.98m)

Plays: Right-Handed

World Ranking: 6

Career High: 1 (February 2022)

ATP Tour Titles: 20

2025 ATP Tour Titles: 0

Grand Slam Singles Titles: 1 (2021 US Open)

Indian Wells Masters Best Result: Runner-Up (2023, 2024)

Daniil Medvedev Form

Daniil Medvedev hasn’t reached a final this year, going closest in Marseille where he lost to World No.96 Hamad Medjedovic.

The Russian reached two quarter-finals in the Middle East, losing to Felix Auger Aliassime in Doha and Tallon Griekspoor in Dubai.

Medvedev has spent less than two hours on court in Indian Wells where he has reached the previous two finals. He beat Bu Yunchaokete 6-2 6-2 and was leading 2-0 when Alex Michelsen retired.

Verdict

Tommy Paul v Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev has won 12 of his last 14 matches in Indian Wells, both defeats coming in finals against Carlos Alcaraz. I think the odds are favourable for Medvedev here with Tommy Paul facing a big step up in class.

Daniil Medvedev Win

Winner

@4/5 - 4 Units

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