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Aryna Sabalenka vs Lucia Bronzetti Live Stream & Tips - Sabalenka to Cruise to Victory in Indian Wells

John Eastwood

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Last updated: 10 Mar 2025

John Eastwood 10 Mar 2025

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Watch Aryna Sabalenka vs Lucia Bronzetti live in Indian Wells
Bronzetti has lost 2-0 in all 7 matches against Top 10 players
I am backing Sabalenka to cover a handicap in the third round

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Aryna Sabalenka beat Lucia Bronzetti 6-3 6-1 & 6-3 6-0 last year (Getty)

Aryna Sabalenka vs Lucia Bronzetti Preview

Aryna Sabalenka and Lucia Bronzetti came to Indian Wells in poor form, both players struggling with weak 2nd serves. I am placing a small stake on Gauff winning in straight sets.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Lucia Bronzetti Preview
Stats
HTH
Aryna Sabalenka Stats
Aryna Sabalenka Form
Lucia Bronzetti Stats
Lucia Bronzetti Form

Stats

Aryna Sabalenka has won 33 of her last 34 matches against players outside the Top 50.
Aryna Sabalenka has won 6-3 6-1 and 6-3 6-0 in 2 matches against Lucia Bronzetti.
Lucia Bronzetti has lost in straight sets in all 7 matches against Top 10 players.

HTH

Year	Event	Surface	Round	Winner	Score	Loser
2024	US Open	Hard	R64	Sabalenka	6-3 6-1	Bronzetti
2024	Brisbane	Hard	R32	Sabalenka	6-3 6-0	Bronzetti

Aryna Sabalenka Stats

Nationality: Belarus

Age: 26 (5 May 1998)

Height: 5'11" (1.82m)

Plays: Right-Handed

World Ranking: 1

Career High: 1 (September 2023)

WTA Tour Titles: 18

2025 WTA Tour Titles: 1

Grand Slam Singles Titles: 3 (2023, 2024 Australian Open, 2024 US Open)

Indian Wells Open Best Result: Runner-Up (2023)

Aryna Sabalenka Form

Aryna Sabalenka won her opening 11 matches this year, winning the Brisbane International and going all the way at the Australian Open. She couldn’t make it three straight victories in Melbourne, going down 6-3 2-6 7-5 to Madison Keys in the final.

The World No.1 suffered a shock defeat to Ekaterina Alexandrova in her opening match in Doha. It was another disappointment in Dubai, a 6-3 6-2 third round defeat to Clara Tauson.

The Belarusian served strong in her opening match in Indian Wells, beating McCartney Kessler 7-6 6-3 after winning 62% of her 2nd serves and not allowing a break point.

Lucia Bronzetti Stats

Nationality: Italy

Age: 26 (10 December 1998)

Height: 5'7" (1.70m)

Plays: Right-Handed

World Ranking: 62

Career High: 46 (April 2024)

WTA Tour Titles: 1

2025 Singles Titles: 0

Grand Slam Singles Titles: 0

Indian Wells Open Best Result: Third Round (2024)

Lucia Bronzetti Form

Lucia Bronzetti lost five of her first seven matches this year before finding some form in Cluj-Napoca. She got to the final and won the first set in a 4-6 6-1 6-2 defeat against Anastasia Potapova.

The Italian has competed in one event since, thrashed 6-1 6-2 by Shuai Zhang in the first qualifier in Dubai.

The 26-year-old has saved a combined 9/16 break points in Indian Wells, defeating Anhelina Kalinina 6-4 7-5 and Magdalena Frech 6-3 7-5.

Verdict

Aryna Sabalenka v Lucia Bronzetti

Aryna Sabalenka had no problems in her two wins against Lucia Bronzetti, winning 6-3 6-1 and 6-3 6-0. I am expecting a similar result in Indian Wells.

Aryna Sabalenka -6.5

Games Handicap

@9/10 - 2 Units

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