Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia Potapova Live Stream & Betting Tips - Sabalenka to dominate Potapova in Rome and extend her near-perfect clay season

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Last updated: 09 May 2025

Freetips staff 09 May 2025

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Sabalenka has won 31 of her 36 matches this season.
Potapova has struggled in Rome, never winning consecutive matches.
Sabalenka is favored to win due to her excellent clay form.

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Aryna Sabalenka is having a near-perfect clay season (credit: Getty)

Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia Potapova Preview

Aryna Sabalenka has asserted herself as one of the strongest performers on clay this season, winning eight matches across Stuttgart and Madrid, and the title in the latter.

Anastasia Potapova had a narrow escape in the opening round, saving a match point to beat Dayana Yastremska.

Potapova has struggled historically in Rome, failing to win consecutive matches in any of her four previous visits, and is highly unlikely to cause any harm to the top seed.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia Potapova Preview
Head-to-Head
Aryna Sabalenka Overview
Aryna Sabalenka Form
Anastasia Potapova Overview
Anastasia Potapova Form

Head-to-Head

Year	Event	Surface	Round	Winner	Score
2023	Stuttgart	Clay	SF	Sabalenka	6-1 6-2

Aryna Sabalenka Overview

Current rank: 1
Career high rank: 1
ELO rank: 1
Season record: 31-5
Clay-court record in 2025: 8-1
Rome career record: 9-6

Aryna Sabalenka Form

Sabalenka has won 31 of 36 matches this season and reached the final in six of eight tournaments, including the Australian Open, Indian Wells, and Miami.

She amassed further success after becoming the runner-up in Stuttgart and winning the Madrid title for the third time in her career, fending off a three-setter and three tiebreaks in the Spanish run.

Sabalenka seeks to build on her runner-up showing in Rome last year, which was an improvement on her earlier tournament-best result of a semifinal in 2022.

With 13 titles or runner-up finishes since the start of 2024, she is the best player on tour right now and is not going to be beaten in the early rounds of Rome this week.

Anastasia Potapova Overview

Current rank: 34
Career high rank: 21
ELO rank: 20
Season record: 17-7
Clay-court record in 2025: 5-1
Rome career record: 2-2
Career top-10 record: 7-20 (0-2 vs No. 1)

Anastasia Potapova Form

Potapova narrowly escaped her opening round in Rome, rallying from a set and 0-3 down against Dayana Yastremska.

She saved a match point and pulled through in nearly two and a half hours, marking her third career victory at the tournament.

The Russian has found some stability in recent months, winning a title in Cluj-Napoca and reaching the fourth round in Madrid.

Historically, she has struggled in Rome and has never won back-to-back matches at the event, even when she started the campaigns in the qualifying rounds.

Verdict

Aryna Sabalenka v Anastasia Potapova

Aryna Sabalenka is in top clay form, coming off a Madrid title and eight wins in Stuttgart and Madrid combined. Potapova barely scraped through her opener and has never made a deep run in Rome, making an upset here very unlikely.

Sabalenka -5

Handicap Games

@4/7 - 1 Unit

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Sabalenka 2-0

Correct Score

@24/49 - 1 Unit

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