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Reilly Opelka vs Rafael Nadal Live Stream, Predictions & Tips - Will Opelka be broken in Rome?

  • Reilly Opelka vs Rafael Nadal predictions for the Italian Open semi-finals
  • The match is being played in Rome on Saturday
  • Opelka’s serve has been broken once in Rome
  • Nadal has won 9 Italian Open titles
  • Preview, predictions, stats and live stream information
Rafael Nadal
Rafael Nadal is 15-1 in his last 16 matches in Rome (Getty Images)
Mat Marshall 15 May 2021
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Reilly Opelka vs Rafael Nadal Predictions


Reilly Opelka has turned it on in Rome. His serve is on fire and Nadal might not get too many break point opportunities. 

You can't back against the nine time winner here, but it might be closer than expected.

  • Reilly Opelka lost 6 straight matches before the Italian Open.
  • Reilly Opelka has won in straight sets in his last 4 matches.
  • Reilly Opelka has saved 3/4 total break points in his last 4 matches.
  • Rafael Nadal is 10-1 in his last 11 matches.
  • Rafael Nadal is 15-1 in his last 16 matches in Rome.
  • Rafael Nadal has seen over 21.5 total games 2 of his last 3 matches.

Head to Head


This is the first match between Reilly Opelka and Rafael Nadal.

Reilly Opelka Stats


Nationality: United States
Age: 23 (28 Aug 1997)
Height: 6'11" (211cm)
Plays: Right-Handed
World Ranking: 47
Career High: 31 (Aug 2019)
Career ATP Singles Titles: 2
2021 Titles: 0
Career Grand Slam Singles Titles: 0
Italian Open Best Result: 2nd Round Qualifying (2019)

Reilly Opelka Form


Reilly Opelka fell to Taylor Fritz in the second round at the Australia Open. It was the start of six straight defeats on the ATP Tour. 

23-year-old has turned that around in a hurry, winning in straight sets in all four matches in Rome.

Opelka beat Richard Gasquet 6-1 7-5, Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 6-4, Aslan Karatsev 7-6 6-4 and Federico Delbonis 7-5 7-6. He has allowed a total of four break points in four matches, saving three.

Rafael Nadal Stats


Nationality: Spain
Age: 34 (3 June 1986)
Height: 6'1" (185cm)
Plays: Left-Handed
World Ranking: 3
Career High: 1 (August 2008)
Career Singles Titles: 87
2020 Singles Titles: 1
Career Grand Slam Singles Titles: 20 (1 Australian Open, 13 French Open, 2 Wimbledon, 4 US Open)
Italian Open Best Result: Winner (2005-2007, 2009-2010, 2012-2013, 2018-2019)

Rafael Nadal Form


Rafael Nadal has won the Italian Open a record nine times. He reached the quarter-finals in 2020 where he fell to beaten finalist Diego Schwartzman.

The World No.3 started the clay court season in Monte Carlo, beaten in the quarter-finals by Andrey Rublev. He bounced back in Barcelona, beating Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 6-7 7-5 in the final.

The Spaniard lost 6-4 6-4 to Alexander Zverev at the Madrid Masters quarter-finals.

The 34-year-old started with a tough test in Rome, getting past Jannik Sinner 7-5 6-4 in the second round. He beat Denis Shapovalov 3-6 6-4 7-6 in the third round, trailing 0-3 in the second set and saving two match points in the third set.

Rafael Nadal got his revenge against Zverev in the quarter-finals. He won 79% (15/19) of his 2nd serves and saved 9/10 break points.

Live Stream


Rafael Nadal and Reilly Opelka meet in the ATP Italian Open semi-finals on Saturday 15 May.

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US

Verdict

Reilly Opelka has been almost impossible to break in Rome. Rafael Nadal should prevail here but it might be closer than expected.

Best Bet: Over 20.5 Total Games @-105.26 at Unibet - 3 Units
Correct Score Tip: Rafael Nadal Win 2-1 Set Betting @450.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 1 Unit

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Reilly Opelka v Rafael Nadal