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Katie Boulter vs Aryna Sabalenka Predictions, Tips & Live Stream – Can Sabalenka make third round for the first time?

  • Katie Boulter vs Aryna Sabalenka predictions & tips
  • The second-round match is being played at Wimbledon on Wednesday 30 June
  • Aryna Sabalenka has never reached the third round of Wimbledon
  • I am backing Katie Boulter to cover a 6.5 game handicap
  • Preview, predictions, stats and live stream information
Aryna Sabalenka Wimbledon
Aryna Sabalenka has never reached the third round of Wimbledon (Getty Images)
Hannah Wilks 02 Jul 2021
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Katie Boulter vs Aryna Sabalenka Predictions


Second seed Aryna Sabalenka has a history of underperforming at Grand Slams, but she has compiled an impressive 30-10 win-loss record in 2021. 

Katie Boulter is slowly rebuilding after injury derailed her rise through the rankings in 2019 and has twice taken sets from top-10 players. But she is unlikely to be able to stop the bludgeoning power of Sabalenka.

  • Aryna Sabalenka has won 3 of her last 5 grass-court matches by less than 6.5 games
  • Aryna Sabalenka won her only previous match against Katie Boulter by less than 6.5 games
  • Aryna Sabalenka has never won back-to-back matches at Wimbledon
  • Aryna Sabalenka’s last 4 Wimbledon matches saw opponents cover a +6.5-game handicap
  • Katie Boulter has seen over 19.5 games in all 3 previous matches against top-10 players
  • Katie Boulter has covered a +6.5 game handicap in 2 of her 3 matches against top-10 players
  • Katie Boulter has seen over 19.5 games in 2 of her last 3 completed matches

Head-to-Head


Aryna Sabalenka leads the head-to-head 1-0 with Katie Boulter.

Sabalenka beat Boulter 6-3, 6-4 at the 2019 Australian Open.

Aryna Sabalenka Stats


Nationality: Belarus
Age: 23 (5 May 1998)
Height: 5'11" (182 cm)
Plays: Right-Handed
World Ranking: 4
Career High: 4 (May 2021)
Career Singles Titles: 10
2021 Singles Titles: 2
Career Grand Slam Singles Titles: 0
Wimbledon Best Result: R2 (2017)

Aryna Sabalenka Form


Powerful Aryna Sabalenka has established a pattern of underperforming at Grand Slams. The Belarusian has won 10 WTA Tour titles including some very prestigious ones, like Madrid in 2021, but has yet to reach a Grand Slam quarterfinal.

Sabalenka’s game is hit-and-miss and she has no plan B. In some ways, her attacking game is perfectly suited for grass and she was an Eastbourne finalist in 2018.

Sabalenka has never won back-to-back matches at Wimbledon, but the players who tend to beat her are those who can disrupt her rhythm with variety. The second seed survived one such player, Monica Niculescu, in the first round, beating her 6-1, 6-4.

Sabalenka simply overpowered Niculescu and will be looking to do the same thing to Boulter.

Katie Boulter Stats


Nationality: Great Britain
Age: 24 (1 August 1996)
Height: 5’11” (182cm)
Plays: Right-Handed
World Ranking: 219
Career High: 82 (February 2019)
Career Singles Titles: 0
2021 Singles Titles: 0
Career Grand Slam Singles Titles: 0
Wimbledon Best Result: R2 (2018)

Katie Boulter Form


Katie Boulter is attempting to rebuild her ranking after a devastating back injury in 2019. The British player had broken into the top 100 but after missing eight months her ranking dropped outside the top 300.

Boulter has only been able to work her way back up to world no. 219. However, she has still had some good wins since her injury. 

She beat Coco Gauff and Kristyna Pliskova on hard courts in the first quarter of the season. As a wildcard at the grass-court Nottingham International, she beat three good players including Marie Bouzkova to reach the quarterfinals.

Boulter scored a comeback win over Danielle Lao in the first round, winning 6-7(6), 6-3, 6-4 to set up a fourth career clash with a top-10 player. She lost the previous three, but not before taking a set from Karolina Pliskova in 2018 and Naomi Osaka in January of this year.

Live Stream


Katie Boulter and Aryna Sabalenka meet in the second round of Wimbledon on Wednesday 30 June.

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Verdict

Sabalenka has never made the third round at Wimbledon but she has been stopped by opponents who disrupt her rhythm. Boulter does not have the game to do that. The British player is likely to be able to keep the match close, but it is difficult to see her winning it.


Best Bet: Boulter +6.5 games Games Handicap @-135.14 at Unibet - 4 Units
Value Bet: Over 19.5 games Total Games @112.00 at Unibet - 1 Unit

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