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Rafael Nadal vs Taylor Fritz Betting Tips - Nadal tipped to claim 3rd Mexican Open title

Value on under 19.5 games as Fritz should struggle with Nadal consistency
Rafael Nadal
Rafael Nadal will be in search of his 3rd Mexican Open title (Getty Images)

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Rafael Nadal will look to secure his third Mexican Open title as he takes on the big-serving Taylor Fritz in the final. They have never met before but Fritz will need his serve to be at its very best if he is to cause an upset. I’m looking at the total games market for value.

Rafael Nadal Stats

Nationality: Spain
Age: 33 (3 June 1986)
Height: 6’1” (185cm)
Plays: Left-handed
Singles World Ranking:  2
Career High Singles Ranking: 1 
Career Prize Money:  $120, 583, 119
Career ATP Tour Singles Titles: 84
2020 ATP Tour Titles: 0
ATP Acapulco Best Result: Winner (2005, 2013)

Rafael Nadal Form

Rafael Nadal is a two time winner of the ATP Mexican Open and looks set for his first title in Mexico since 2013. He has cruised through to the final beating Pablo Andujar 6-3, 6-2 in the first round. Miomir Kecmanovic caused Nadal a few problems but the Spaniard saw him off 6-2, 7-5.

Kwon Soon-woo hardly challenged in the third round with Nadal winning 6-2, 6-1 and then beat 7th seed Grigor Dimitrov 6-3, 6-2 in the semi final.

I can’t see Nadal having too many issues getting past Taylor Fritz in the final. Rafael Nadal will be desperate to get another hard court title behind his back as he has struggled on the surface in recent times.

I can see a straight sets win for Nadal with the match going under 19.5 games at even money.

Taylor Fritz Stats

Nationality: USA
Age: 22 (28 October 1997)
Height: 6’4” (193cm)
Plays: Right-handed
Singles World Ranking: 35
Career High Singles Ranking: 25 (29 August 2019)
Career Prize Money: $3,365, 265
Career ATP Tour Singles Titles: 1
2020 ATP Tour Titles: 0
ATP Acapulco Best Result: Final (2020)

Taylor Fritz Form

Taylor Fritz beat John Millman 7-5, 3-6, 6-1 in the first round before Ugo Humbert was seen off 6-4, 6-1 but he big serving American. Kyle Edmund was Fritz’s next victim in the quarter final 6-4, 6-3 before fellow big serving American John Isner took Fritz to three sets 2-6, 7-5, 6-3.

Taylor Fritz has improved his tennis a lot over the last 6-12 months as can be seen by his results at the ATP Acapulco, beating higher ranked opponents on regular occasions. Coming up against the World No.2 is however a step too far in my opinion.

Rafael Nadal vs Taylor Fritz Live Stream

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Rafael Nadal vs Taylor Fritz Match Up

Rafael Nadal has been brilliant all week while Taylor Fritz will be hugely reliant on his big serve to stay in the match. Unfortunately over time Nadal should be able to wear Fritz out with long rallies as the American should make plenty of unforced errors.

Taylor Fritz is not accustomed to going through long rallies so it is difficult to see where he can find a break of serve from while Nadal will continuously pressure his.

taylor fritz
Taylor Fritz will be reliant on his serve to come to the fore against Rafael Nadal (Getty Images)

Rafael Nadal vs Taylor Fritz Stats

  • Rafael Nadal has not dropped a set in his 4 matches at the ATP Mexican Open.
  • Rafael Nadal has gone under 19.5 games in 3 of his last 4 matches. 
  • Taylor Fritz has gone to 3 sets in 2 of his 4 matches at ATP Mexican Open.

 Rafael Nadal vs Taylor Fritz FAQ

Where can I watch Rafael Nadal vs Taylor Fritz live stream online?

Check our live streaming calendar for the Rafael Nadal vs Taylor Fritz live stream online.

Where is Rafael Nadal vs Taylor Fritz being played?

Rafael Nadal vs Taylor Fritz is being played at the 2020 ATP Mexican Open.

What is Rafael Nadal Career High Singles World Ranking?

Rafael Nadal's career high world ranking is World No. 1.

What is Taylor Fritz Career High Singles World Ranking?

Taylor Fritz's career high word ranking is World No. 25.


Rafael Nadal is the overwhelming favourite so I'm backing him to dominate the match. Under 19.5 games is my best bet.

Best Bet: Under 19.5 Games Under/Over Games Market @2.00 at bet365 - 5 Units

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Post bet analysis

Rafael Nadal beat Taylor Fritz 6-3, 6-2 as the my best bet of under 19.5 games came through to five us a 5 unit win on the match.
01 Mar 2020

Rafael Nadal v Taylor Fritz

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