Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensik Live Stream & Betting tips - Mensik smells blood as weary Fils limps into Miami clash

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Last updated: 27 Mar 2025

Freetips staff 27 Mar 2025

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Arthur Fils previously defeated Jakub Mensik at the ATP Next Gen Finals.
Fils enters the current match drained, dealing with injuries and fatigue.
Mensik has a physical advantage and aims for his first Masters semifinal.

Expired

Jakub Mensik with a big advantage in Miami (credit: Getty)

Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensik Preview

At the closing stages of 2024, Jakub Mensik was not in the best physical condition, which played a big role in Arthur Fils’ win when they met at the ATP Next Gen Finals.

Now, the roles have completely reversed as Fils is coming into this clash absolutely shattered, physically drained from lack of rest, and already carrying injury concerns.

This gives Mensik a massive advantage, and I fully expect him to capitalize on it, secure the win, and book his first-ever semifinal at the Masters level.

Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensik Preview
Head-to-Head
Arthur Fils Overview
Arthur Fils Form
Jakub Mensik Overview
Jakub Mensik Form

Head-to-Head

Year	Event	Surface	Round	Winner	Score
2024	ATP Next Gen	Hard	-	Fils	4-2 4-3 4-2

Arthur Fils Overview

Current rank: 54
Career-high rank: 45
ELO rank: 37
Season record: 14-7
Quarterfinal record on the main tour: 2-5
Quarterfinal record in Masters: 0-1

Arthur Fils Form

The rain delay pushing the Round of 16 battle against Alexander Zverev to the next day was just the bit of luck Arthur Fils needed to give himself a fair shot.

Fils made the most of that opportunity, delivering a brilliant three-set victory over world No. 2 and top seed Zverev to book his spot in the quarterfinals.

But the challenge is far from over. Now, he has to return to the court in less than 24 hours, and to make matters worse, his fitness isn't in great shape.

Fils was clearly struggling physically in the third round against Frances Tiafoe, cramping and battling to move in the deciding set. Against Zverev in the Round of 16, he even had to take a medical timeout for a back issue.

Heading into the quarterfinals, there's no doubt he's at a big disadvantage. But no matter what happens on Thursday, he'll likely be chuffed with how he’s performed at the Sunshine Double.

Fils had never reached the semifinals of a big tournament—be it a Masters or a Slam—but he's now made back-to-back quarterfinals at the Sunshine Double.

Just a few days ago, he reached this stage in Indian Wells, where he put up a strong fight against Daniil Medvedev before going down in three sets.

Jakub Mensik Overview

Current rank: 18
Career-high rank: 18
ELO rank: 28
Season record: 11-5
Quarterfinal record on the main tour: 8-6
Quarterfinal record in Masters: 0-1

Jakub Mensik Form

On the other hand, Jakub Mensik finds himself in the exact opposite situation. He got a walkover in the Round of 16 after his fellow Czech, Tomas Machac, withdrew, meaning he’s had plenty of time to rest, recover, and prepare for this massive opportunity.

Mensik has had some grueling days on the court and a packed schedule in recent weeks, so this unexpected break has come at just the right time for him to recharge.

He looked physically drained when Karen Khachanov bageled him in the second round at Indian Wells, but instead of taking some time off, he jetted off to Cap Cana and played a tough Challenger event, making it all the way to the semis.

Now, Mensik will be eager to make the most of his fresher legs and put an end to his growing quarterfinal losing streak. He’s had two such matches on the main tour this year, losing both, in Brisbane and Auckland.

His only previous Masters quarterfinal also ended in defeat, but that was against none other than 40-time Masters champion and former world No. 1 Novak Djokovic in Shanghai last year.

Verdict

Arthur Fils v Jakub Mensik

Late in 2024, Jakub Mensik struggled physically, which contributed to his loss against Arthur Fils at the ATP Next Gen Finals. Now, the situation has flipped as Fils arrives exhausted, drained, and battling injuries.

With a clear physical edge, Mensik has a golden opportunity to take advantage and reach his first Masters semifinal.

Jakub Mensik

Match Winner

@13/14 - 2 Units

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Mensik 2-0

Correct Score

@23/10 - 1 Unit

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