This preview has expired.

See all our latest betting tips or suggested betting sites

Sebastian Korda vs Novak Djokovic Live Stream & Betting tips - Djokovic set for a battle against Korda in Miami

Freetips staff

Editor

Last updated: 27 Mar 2025

Freetips staff 27 Mar 2025

Share this article

Novak Djokovic not at his peak; recent struggles affect dominance.
Korda almost won in their past meeting; potential for close match.
Korda showed impressive form in Miami Masters, boosting his confidence.

Expired

Novak Djokovic will be in action in Miami (credit: Getty)

Sebastian Korda vs Novak Djokovic Preview

Novak Djokovic is nowhere near his best at the moment, as age and a string of poor results have shaken his confidence and diminished his aura of invincibility, giving his opponents greater belief that they can beat him.

However, despite his recent struggles, he still holds a significant edge over almost everyone except Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz. On a big stage like this and against non-elite opponents, betting against him may not be the wisest choice.

At the same time, betting on Djokovic at such odds isn’t particularly valuable at this stage of his career. Instead, looking at opportunities on Korda’s side seems like the better option.

Korda had a match point for a straight-sets win in their only previous meeting in Adelaide, and I expect him to keep things close once again.

Sebastian Korda vs Novak Djokovic Preview
Head-to-head
Sebastian Korda Overview
Sebastian Korda Form
Novak Djokovic Overview
Novak Djokovic Form

Head-to-head

Year	Event	Surface	Round	Winner	Score
2023	Adelaide	Hard	F	Djokovic	6-7 7-6 6-4

Sebastian Korda Overview

Current rank: 25
Career-high rank: 15
ELO rank: 33
Season record: 6-4
Career record against top-5 players: 2-12
Form in tour-level quarterfinals: 13 wins in the last 13 completed matches
Best tournament result: Quarterfinal in 2021

Sebastian Korda Form

Sebastian Korda, after enduring a few difficult weeks due to fitness struggles, has regained some much-needed form and momentum with an fine run to the quarterfinals at the Miami Masters.

The latest win against Gael Monfils must be particularly satisfying and confidence-boosting, as it marks the first time in 2025 that he has won a match that went the full distance.

He has struggled to maintain his physical condition throughout matches in 2025, which is understandable given that he underwent surgery in the closing stages of 2024 and is still on the comeback trail.

Nevertheless, to make up for his struggles and slow start, he has now secured a big result at a big home event, something he hadn’t been able to do consistently despite his extensive experience in this region.

His only previous quarterfinal at a high-profile home event also came at the Miami Masters in 2021, when he made his tournament debut and lost in two close sets to Andrey Rublev.

Novak Djokovic Overview

Current rank: 5
Career-high rank: 1
ELO rank: 2
Season record: 10-4
Masters record against non-top-20 players: 251-29
Best tournament result: Winner in 2016, 2015, 2014, 2012, 2011, and 2017
Form against Americans: 35 wins in the last 36 matches

Novak Djokovic Form

Novak Djokovic took full advantage of the relatively easy early-round matches at the Miami Masters, securing some much-needed wins and ending his uncharacteristic drought.

He was winless in three matches before arriving at the Miami Masters, marking his longest losing streak since 2018. However, he found his rhythm this fortnight, defeating Camilo Ugo Carabelli, Rinky Hijikata, and Lorenzo Musetti to reach the quarterfinals.

His next challenge is to end his title drought at a regular tour-level event, as he has not won such a title since 2023. With the draw fully opening in his favor in Miami, he will be eager to seize this opportunity.

While the other six players who have qualified for the quarterfinals at the Miami Masters this week have combined for just one Masters title among them, Djokovic boasts 40, making him the most successful player in history at this level.

Moreover, Djokovic is unbeaten in quarterfinals at the Miami Masters, having won all seven of his matches at this stage. Impressively, he converted six of those quarterfinal appearances into titles, most recently in 2016.

Verdict

Sebastian Korda v Novak Djokovic

Djokovic is far from his best, with age and poor form chipping away at his dominance. While only Sinner and Alcaraz truly challenge him, he remains a tough bet to go against on big stages.

However, backing him at low odds isn’t ideal either. Korda pushed him to the brink in Adelaide and could make this another tight battle.

Korda +4.5

Handicap Games

@8/11 - 1 Unit

£30 Free Bet

Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywood bets

Over 9

Korda Total Games

@4/6 - 1 Unit

Bet £10 Get £30

with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

Bet at bet365

Over 4.5

Korda First Set Games

@15/16 - 1 Unit

100% up to £/€50 bonus

Get up to £/€50 on your first deposit

New bettors; Code SPORT; Wager deposit & bonus 8x; Max qualifying bet stake=initial bonus; Valid 60 days; Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply; T&C apply; 18+

Bet at 10bet