Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Fils Live Stream & Preview - Expect a gruelling first set between Rublev and Fils in Monte Carlo

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Last updated: 10 Apr 2025

Freetips staff 10 Apr 2025

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Arthur Fils has proven he can rise against big names
Andrey Rublev, under Marat Safin's mentorship, aims to harness his full potential.
A tightly contested first set lasting over 45.5 minutes is likely.

Expired

Watch Andrey Rublev take on Arthur Fils in Monte Carlo (credit: Getty)

Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Fils Preview

Arthur Fils has shown a real tendency to rise for big matches early in his young career, and with Andrey Rublev being one of the more vulnerable players in the top 10, Fils has a strong chance here.

That said, he still has plenty to prove on the big stage before being considered a clear favourite against a top-10 opponent, and there isn’t much value in backing him at odds-on.

With no clear edge in the outright winner market, I’m leaning toward a bet on the first set to last over 45.5 minutes. Both players seem evenly matched and are likely to engage in a drawn-out battle early while still fresh.

Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Fils Preview
Head-to-Head
Andrey Rublev Overview
Andrey Rublev Form
Arthur Fils Overview
Arthur Fils Form

Head-to-Head

Year	Event	Surface	Round	Winner	Score
2024	Hong Kong	Hard	QF	Rublev	6-4 1-6 6-2

Andrey Rublev Overview

Current rank: 9
Career high rank: 5
ELO rank: 29
Season record: 10–7
Monte Carlo best result: Champion in 2023
Form against top-20 players: 2–0 in 2025

Andrey Rublev Form

The newly formed partnership between Andrey Rublev and Marat Safin is being viewed as a last-chance effort to get Rublev's career back on track and help him reach his full potential.

On a positive note, the collaboration is off to a strong start. Rublev delivered a solid performance in the second round of the Monte Carlo Masters, defeating an in-form Gael Monfils in straight sets.

What stood out most was how composed Rublev remained while teetering on the edge of dropping the second set.

Instead of crumbling under pressure, he held firm and closed out the match in two sets, a promising sign that Safin's influence may already be making an impact.

Choosing to kick off this partnership at the Monte Carlo Masters was also a smart strategic move.

The tournament offers a solid platform for Rublev to make a statement and build early momentum in this new chapter.

Monte Carlo has been a significant venue for Rublev. In 2023, he ended a long and frustrating search for a major title by winning the event.

He also reached the final there in 2022, ultimately falling short against Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Arthur Fils Overview

Current rank: 15
Career high rank: 15
ELO rank: 21
Season record: 13–6
Monte Carlo record: 3–1
Form against top-10 players: 4–6 since 2024

Arthur Fils Form

Arthur Fils reached the Round of 16 at the Monte Carlo Masters for the first time in his career after defeating last week's ATP Bucharest champion, Flavio Cobolli, in straight sets.

The young Frenchman came into the 2025 season focused on improving his performances at major events, and so far, he has been right on track.

He made his first Masters-level quarterfinal last month in Indian Wells and followed it up with another quarterfinal run in Miami.

Now, Fils is just one win away from securing a third straight quarterfinal appearance at the Masters level, further strengthening his position as France's top-ranked player.

Verdict

Andrey Rublev v Arthur Fils

Arthur Fils has a knack for stepping up against big names, and with Rublev looking shaky for a top-10 player, a Fils win is on the cards.

Still, Fils isn’t quite proven enough at this level to justify short odds. With neither man holding a clear edge, backing the first set to go over 45.5 minutes feels like the smarter play in what should be a tight opener.

Over 45.5

First Set Duration

@17/20 - 1 Unit

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