Carlos Alcaraz Schedule and Matches

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Arthur Fils vs Carlos Alcaraz Live Stream & Betting Tips - Fils brings the fire but nothing stops Alcaraz in Monte Carlo

Freetips staff

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Last updated: 11 Apr 2025

Freetips staff 11 Apr 2025

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Alcaraz's dominance makes him the favorite to win.
Fils in great form, aims to surprise Alcaraz on clay.
While Fils might take a set, an upset against Alcaraz seems improbable.

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Carlos Alcaraz predicted to win in Monte Carlo (credit: Getty)

Arthur Fils vs Carlos Alcaraz Preview

Arthur Fils is playing some of his best tennis right now, but this matchup is a tall order. He’s going up against the tournament favorite and the current top player on clay, so while he may not be expected to win, that lack of pressure could actually make him even more dangerous.

He’s expected to put up a fight and could very well take a set, but realistically, the final result feels out of his reach.

Arthur Fils vs Carlos Alcaraz Preview
Head-to-Head
Arthur Fils Overview
Arthur Fils Form
Carlos Alcaraz Overview
Carlos Alcaraz Form

Head-to-Head

This will be the first meeting between the pair.

Arthur Fils Overview

Current rank: 15
Career-high rank: 15
ELO rank: 21
Season record: 14–6
Masters quarterfinal record: 0–2
Tour-level quarterfinal record on clay: 2–2
Record vs. top-5 players: 3–4

Arthur Fils Form

Arthur Fils was already riding a wave of momentum and confidence, and when a vulnerable top-10 opponent crossed his path, he seized the chance to make a statement.

In the round of 16 at the Monte Carlo Masters, Fils delivered his best performance of the tournament, completely outplaying former champion Andrey Rublev in a dominant 6-2, 6-3 victory.

This impressive run of form must be especially satisfying for the young Frenchman, who had been facing criticism for underwhelming results in big tournaments, despite being a top-20 player. With this win, he has quieted the doubters.

This marks Fils’ third straight quarterfinal appearance at a Masters event. With this achievement, he becomes the youngest player ever to reach the quarterfinals at all three of the season's opening Masters tournaments.

Fils previously lost to Daniil Medvedev and Jakub Mensik in the quarterfinals of Indian Wells and Miami, respectively, and he will now be hoping to break that streak and reach his first semifinal at this level.

Carlos Alcaraz Overview

Current rank: 3
Career-high rank: 1
ELO rank: 3
Season record: 17–4
Masters quarterfinal record: 9–6
Tour-level quarterfinal record on clay: 15–2

Carlos Alcaraz Form

After earning his first-ever win at the Monte Carlo Masters earlier this week by defeating Francisco Cerundolo in three sets in the opening round, Carlos Alcaraz grew in confidence and looked more assertive and in control during the round of 16.

He was far from his best, playing at maybe 60 to 70 percent of his top level, yet still had no trouble cruising past Daniel Altmaier with a dominant 6-3, 6-1 victory.

That speaks to just how good he is on clay, especially on these slow courts in Monte Carlo.

Alcaraz reached the quarterfinals in four of his last five tournaments this year and fell short in the alternate quarterfinals, losing to Novak Djokovic at the Australian Open and Jiri Lehecka in Doha.

His most recent quarterfinal appearance before this one ended in a straight-set win over Francisco Cerundolo at Indian Wells, which also snapped a three-match losing streak in Masters quarterfinals.

Alcaraz has historically been very comfortable against French players, winning 25 of the 28 matches he has played against them across all levels.

That said, all three of his losses to French opponents have come at the Masters level, against Ugo Gaston in Paris in 2021, Gael Monfils in Cincinnati in 2024, and Ugo Humbert in Paris in 2024.

Verdict

Arthur Fils v Carlos Alcaraz

Arthur Fils is in great form, but facing the best clay-court player in the world is a massive challenge. With nothing to lose, he could make it interesting—maybe even take a set—but pulling off the upset seems unlikely.

Alcaraz -3.5

Handicap Games

@4/6 - 2 Units

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Alcaraz 2-1

Correct Score

@45/17 - 1 Unit

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